Cam Schlittler of the New York Yankees leads the 2026 AL Cy Young market at 61.5% implied probability due to his breakout campaign featuring a 2.21 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 4.8 WAR over 146.2 innings with 182 strikeouts. Trader sentiment reflects his edge in ERA, WHIP, and advanced metrics like FIP over the primary challenger. Dylan Cease of the Toronto Blue Jays sits at 34.8% on the strength of a 2.28-2.40 ERA, elite strikeout rate near 36%, multiple complete-game efforts including a one-hit shutout, and All-Star starting nod, though he trails slightly in wins and innings. Longshots like Drew Rasmussen and Sonny Gray remain below 2% amid lower volume and less dominant ratios this season. Recent form and cumulative WAR have solidified the top two in the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 61.6%
Dylan Cease 35.8%
Drew Rasmussen 2.9%
Sonny Gray <1%
$1,261,861 Vol.
$1,261,861 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
36%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
62%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
3%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
1%
Cam Schlittler 61.6%
Dylan Cease 35.8%
Drew Rasmussen 2.9%
Sonny Gray <1%
$1,261,861 Vol.
$1,261,861 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
36%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
62%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
3%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cam Schlittler of the New York Yankees leads the 2026 AL Cy Young market at 61.5% implied probability due to his breakout campaign featuring a 2.21 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 4.8 WAR over 146.2 innings with 182 strikeouts. Trader sentiment reflects his edge in ERA, WHIP, and advanced metrics like FIP over the primary challenger. Dylan Cease of the Toronto Blue Jays sits at 34.8% on the strength of a 2.28-2.40 ERA, elite strikeout rate near 36%, multiple complete-game efforts including a one-hit shutout, and All-Star starting nod, though he trails slightly in wins and innings. Longshots like Drew Rasmussen and Sonny Gray remain below 2% amid lower volume and less dominant ratios this season. Recent form and cumulative WAR have solidified the top two in the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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