Recent stability in the U.S. labor market, with July JOLTS job openings little changed at 7.3 million and the August employment report showing 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains plus a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the dispersed probabilities across 7.0M–7.6M+ ranges for the September 29 release. Traders price in a resilient yet cooling environment marked by the ongoing “low-hire, low-fire” pattern, moderate 3.1% year-over-year wage growth, and limited layoff pressure, while weighing potential downside from softer hiring trends and upside from manufacturing or healthcare rebounds. This produces closely matched leading outcomes around 7.3M–7.4M, reflecting uncertainty over whether August openings will hold near recent levels or shift with incoming economic data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.0M to 7.1M 21.8%
7.3M to 7.4M 22%
7.6M+ 17%
7.4M to 7.5M 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
<7.0M
11%
7.0M to 7.1M
22%
7.1M to 7.2M
8%
7.2M to 7.3M
11%
7.3M to 7.4M
22%
7.4M to 7.5M
13%
7.5M to 7.6M
11%
7.6M+
17%
7.0M to 7.1M 21.8%
7.3M to 7.4M 22%
7.6M+ 17%
7.4M to 7.5M 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
<7.0M
$64 Vol.
11%
7.0M to 7.1M
$20 Vol.
22%
7.1M to 7.2M
$36 Vol.
8%
7.2M to 7.3M
$79 Vol.
11%
7.3M to 7.4M
$58 Vol.
22%
7.4M to 7.5M
$20 Vol.
13%
7.5M to 7.6M
$256 Vol.
11%
7.6M+
$145 Vol.
17%
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in August 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in August 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 29, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent stability in the U.S. labor market, with July JOLTS job openings little changed at 7.3 million and the August employment report showing 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains plus a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the dispersed probabilities across 7.0M–7.6M+ ranges for the September 29 release. Traders price in a resilient yet cooling environment marked by the ongoing “low-hire, low-fire” pattern, moderate 3.1% year-over-year wage growth, and limited layoff pressure, while weighing potential downside from softer hiring trends and upside from manufacturing or healthcare rebounds. This produces closely matched leading outcomes around 7.3M–7.4M, reflecting uncertainty over whether August openings will hold near recent levels or shift with incoming economic data.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in August 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in August 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 29, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in August 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 29, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$678End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in August 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in August 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 29, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent stability in the U.S. labor market, with July JOLTS job openings little changed at 7.3 million and the August employment report showing 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains plus a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the dispersed probabilities across 7.0M–7.6M+ ranges for the September 29 release. Traders price in a resilient yet cooling environment marked by the ongoing “low-hire, low-fire” pattern, moderate 3.1% year-over-year wage growth, and limited layoff pressure, while weighing potential downside from softer hiring trends and upside from manufacturing or healthcare rebounds. This produces closely matched leading outcomes around 7.3M–7.4M, reflecting uncertainty over whether August openings will hold near recent levels or shift with incoming economic data.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in August 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in August 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 29, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in August 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 29, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$678End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stability in the U.S. labor market, with July JOLTS job openings little changed at 7.3 million and the August employment report showing 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains plus a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, underpins the dispersed probabilities across 7.0M–7.6M+ ranges for the September 29 release. Traders price in a resilient yet cooling environment marked by the ongoing “low-hire, low-fire” pattern, moderate 3.1% year-over-year wage growth, and limited layoff pressure, while weighing potential downside from softer hiring trends and upside from manufacturing or healthcare rebounds. This produces closely matched leading outcomes around 7.3M–7.4M, reflecting uncertainty over whether August openings will hold near recent levels or shift with incoming economic data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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