Scottie Scheffler's position atop the 2026 FedEx Cup standings heading into the St. Jude Championship has anchored his lead in the playoff winner market, reflecting his consistent season-long points accumulation and strong recent form. Rory McIlroy sits close behind amid ongoing player-of-the-year discussions and proven playoff pedigree, while Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Chris Gotterup occupy the next tier based on current rankings and momentum. The bunched probabilities highlight the three-event playoff structure, where large field cuts, reset scoring at the Tour Championship, and shifting points allocations allow multiple contenders to surge or fade rapidly depending on weekly results at TPC Southwind and beyond.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 7.6%
Xander Schauffele 5.7%
$2,609,378 Vol.
$2,609,378 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
8%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Nico Echavarria
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
3%
Sam Burns
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 7.6%
Xander Schauffele 5.7%
$2,609,378 Vol.
$2,609,378 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Scottie Scheffler
$8,697 Vol.
17%
Rory McIlroy
$1,918 Vol.
14%
Cameron Young
$1,496 Vol.
8%
Xander Schauffele
$518 Vol.
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
$2,099 Vol.
5%
Daniel Berger
$770 Vol.
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
$1,151 Vol.
5%
Ludvig Åberg
$1,850 Vol.
4%
Nico Echavarria
$958 Vol.
4%
Chris Gotterup
$925 Vol.
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$1,176 Vol.
3%
Si Woo Kim
$746 Vol.
3%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
$327,119 Vol.
3%
Sam Burns
$5,189 Vol.
3%
Robert MacIntyre
$644 Vol.
3%
Akshay Bhatia
$629 Vol.
2%
Sahith Theegala
$1,326,759 Vol.
2%
Collin Morikawa
$445 Vol.
2%
Russell Henley
$783 Vol.
2%
Sepp Straka
$16,291 Vol.
2%
J.J. Spaun
$852 Vol.
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
$175,762 Vol.
1%
Min Woo Lee
$98,444 Vol.
1%
Justin Rose
$413 Vol.
1%
Ryan Gerard
$3,854 Vol.
1%
Gary Woodland
$316,792 Vol.
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
$24,471 Vol.
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$421 Vol.
<1%
Adam Scott
$368 Vol.
<1%
Jake Knapp
$287,839 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler's position atop the 2026 FedEx Cup standings heading into the St. Jude Championship has anchored his lead in the playoff winner market, reflecting his consistent season-long points accumulation and strong recent form. Rory McIlroy sits close behind amid ongoing player-of-the-year discussions and proven playoff pedigree, while Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Chris Gotterup occupy the next tier based on current rankings and momentum. The bunched probabilities highlight the three-event playoff structure, where large field cuts, reset scoring at the Tour Championship, and shifting points allocations allow multiple contenders to surge or fade rapidly depending on weekly results at TPC Southwind and beyond.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,609,378End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler's position atop the 2026 FedEx Cup standings heading into the St. Jude Championship has anchored his lead in the playoff winner market, reflecting his consistent season-long points accumulation and strong recent form. Rory McIlroy sits close behind amid ongoing player-of-the-year discussions and proven playoff pedigree, while Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Chris Gotterup occupy the next tier based on current rankings and momentum. The bunched probabilities highlight the three-event playoff structure, where large field cuts, reset scoring at the Tour Championship, and shifting points allocations allow multiple contenders to surge or fade rapidly depending on weekly results at TPC Southwind and beyond.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$2,609,378End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler's position atop the 2026 FedEx Cup standings heading into the St. Jude Championship has anchored his lead in the playoff winner market, reflecting his consistent season-long points accumulation and strong recent form. Rory McIlroy sits close behind amid ongoing player-of-the-year discussions and proven playoff pedigree, while Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Chris Gotterup occupy the next tier based on current rankings and momentum. The bunched probabilities highlight the three-event playoff structure, where large field cuts, reset scoring at the Tour Championship, and shifting points allocations allow multiple contenders to surge or fade rapidly depending on weekly results at TPC Southwind and beyond.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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