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Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Kimi Antonelli 27%

Lewis Hamilton 15%

Lando Norris 15%

Charles Leclerc 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli 27%

Lewis Hamilton 15%

Lando Norris 15%

Charles Leclerc 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli

$69 Vol.

27%

Lewis Hamilton

$29 Vol.

15%

Lando Norris

$7 Vol.

15%

Charles Leclerc

$5 Vol.

14%

Oscar Piastri

$6 Vol.

14%

George Russell

$5 Vol.

14%

Max Verstappen

$5 Vol.

12%

Liam Lawson

$58 Vol.

4%

Oliver Bearman

$58 Vol.

4%

Esteban Ocon

$58 Vol.

4%

Fernando Alonso

$58 Vol.

4%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$61 Vol.

3%

Pierre Gasly

$58 Vol.

3%

Sergio Perez

$61 Vol.

3%

Franco Colapinto

$61 Vol.

3%

Alexander Albon

$72 Vol.

3%

Nico Hulkenberg

$58 Vol.

3%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$58 Vol.

3%

Isack Hadjar

$5 Vol.

3%

Valtteri Bottas

$58 Vol.

3%

Arvid Lindblad

$58 Vol.

3%

Lance Stroll

$61 Vol.

3%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 drivers’ championship with 219 points and six victories in a dominant Mercedes campaign, positioning the Italian driver as the consensus favorite to win his home race at Monza. His recent midseason form, including multiple poles and consistent podium finishes, underpins the 28.5% implied probability. Lewis Hamilton’s 169 points at Ferrari and George Russell’s strong Mercedes results keep them competitive at 15% and 14%, respectively, while McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, along with Charles Leclerc, sit close behind due to their teams’ pace on high-speed circuits. Max Verstappen’s lower 11.5% share reflects Red Bull’s current deficit, leaving the field open to variables like qualifying pace, tire management, and reliability at the temple of speed.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$970
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 drivers’ championship with 219 points and six victories in a dominant Mercedes campaign, positioning the Italian driver as the consensus favorite to win his home race at Monza. His recent midseason form, including multiple poles and consistent podium finishes, underpins the 28.5% implied probability. Lewis Hamilton’s 169 points at Ferrari and George Russell’s strong Mercedes results keep them competitive at 15% and 14%, respectively, while McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, along with Charles Leclerc, sit close behind due to their teams’ pace on high-speed circuits. Max Verstappen’s lower 11.5% share reflects Red Bull’s current deficit, leaving the field open to variables like qualifying pace, tire management, and reliability at the temple of speed.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$970
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 27%, followed by "Lewis Hamilton" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lewis Hamilton" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.