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Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?

Mercedes 53%

Ferrari 47%

Tgr Haas 24%

Cadillac 12.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Mercedes 53%

Ferrari 47%

Tgr Haas 24%

Cadillac 12.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Mercedes

$8 Vol.

53%

Ferrari

$20 Vol.

47%

Tgr Haas

$125 Vol.

24%

Cadillac

$21 Vol.

12%

Mclaren Mastercard

$0 Vol.

11%

Alpine

$0 Vol.

11%

Red Bull

$0 Vol.

11%

Racing Bulls

$0 Vol.

11%

Aston Martin

$21 Vol.

13%

Williams

$14 Vol.

27%

Audi Revolut

$14 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).Mercedes leads the 2026 constructors' championship by 72 points over Ferrari, powered by superior power-unit performance and consistent results in the new technical era, giving traders a slight edge for a Monza victory. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through aggressive chassis upgrades and strong driver lineups, positioning the Italian squad as a realistic threat on home soil where historical pace and fan momentum often elevate results. Midfield teams like Audi and Williams sit further back in points, limiting their upset potential against the established frontrunners in a high-speed track layout favoring outright pace and reliability. This narrow implied probability split reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing a competitive head-to-head rather than any single decisive swing.

This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session.

For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.

In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Volume
$222
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).Mercedes leads the 2026 constructors' championship by 72 points over Ferrari, powered by superior power-unit performance and consistent results in the new technical era, giving traders a slight edge for a Monza victory. Ferrari has narrowed the gap through aggressive chassis upgrades and strong driver lineups, positioning the Italian squad as a realistic threat on home soil where historical pace and fan momentum often elevate results. Midfield teams like Audi and Williams sit further back in points, limiting their upset potential against the established frontrunners in a high-speed track layout favoring outright pace and reliability. This narrow implied probability split reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing a competitive head-to-head rather than any single decisive swing.

This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session.

For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.

In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Volume
$222
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mercedes" at 53%, followed by "Ferrari" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" is "Mercedes" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ferrari" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.