Kimi Antonelli holds the narrow edge in the FIA Action of the Year market due to his breakout 2026 campaign at Mercedes, where the 20-year-old has secured six wins and nine podiums through the Belgian Grand Prix while building a commanding championship lead. His consistent pace, multiple pole positions, and ability to deliver under new regulations have positioned him as the frontrunner for the award recognizing the season's most spectacular on-track maneuver. Max Verstappen trails closely behind, buoyed by high-profile aggressive moves such as his standout double overtake on Lewis Hamilton and Liam Lawson at the Hungarian Grand Prix, which drew praise even from rivals. Hamilton sits further back amid his own strong results as Antonelli's teammate, while emerging talents like Gabriel Bortoleto and Arvid Lindblad receive lower implied probabilities reflecting fewer headline moments to date. With the top two separated by just four points in trader consensus and the season still active, the market reflects ongoing uncertainty around which driver will produce the defining wheel-to-wheel highlight before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 33%
Max Verstappen 28.3%
Lewis Hamilton 13.5%
Arvid Lindblad 5.0%
$168,504 Vol.
$168,504 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
33%
Max Verstappen
28%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
George Russell
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
9%
Sergio Perez
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 33%
Max Verstappen 28.3%
Lewis Hamilton 13.5%
Arvid Lindblad 5.0%
$168,504 Vol.
$168,504 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
33%
Max Verstappen
28%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
George Russell
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
9%
Sergio Perez
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Carlos Sainz
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli holds the narrow edge in the FIA Action of the Year market due to his breakout 2026 campaign at Mercedes, where the 20-year-old has secured six wins and nine podiums through the Belgian Grand Prix while building a commanding championship lead. His consistent pace, multiple pole positions, and ability to deliver under new regulations have positioned him as the frontrunner for the award recognizing the season's most spectacular on-track maneuver. Max Verstappen trails closely behind, buoyed by high-profile aggressive moves such as his standout double overtake on Lewis Hamilton and Liam Lawson at the Hungarian Grand Prix, which drew praise even from rivals. Hamilton sits further back amid his own strong results as Antonelli's teammate, while emerging talents like Gabriel Bortoleto and Arvid Lindblad receive lower implied probabilities reflecting fewer headline moments to date. With the top two separated by just four points in trader consensus and the season still active, the market reflects ongoing uncertainty around which driver will produce the defining wheel-to-wheel highlight before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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