Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual assault allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, which prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race, have produced search warrants and device seizures by the FBI in August but no formal charges. Probes by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, Los Angeles authorities, and federal civil rights authorities under 18 U.S.C. § 242 continue to examine evidence from multiple accusers, with no public announcements or indictments reported as of early September. Standard prosecutorial timelines for reviewing digital records, conducting interviews, and convening grand juries make resolution within the remaining window to September 30 improbable, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% probability assigned to no charges by the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual assault allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, which prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race, have produced search warrants and device seizures by the FBI in August but no formal charges. Probes by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, Los Angeles authorities, and federal civil rights authorities under 18 U.S.C. § 242 continue to examine evidence from multiple accusers, with no public announcements or indictments reported as of early September. Standard prosecutorial timelines for reviewing digital records, conducting interviews, and convening grand juries make resolution within the remaining window to September 30 improbable, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% probability assigned to no charges by the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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