The three promoted sides—ADO Den Haag, SC Cambuur, and Willem II—have opened the 2026-27 Eredivisie campaign with consistent losses and negative goal differences, placing them at the foot of the table after the first few matchweeks. Pre-season models such as Opta assigned these clubs the highest relegation probabilities based on squad depth, defensive vulnerabilities, and limited reinforcement during the summer window. Other clubs including PEC Zwolle, Telstar, Fortuna Sittard, and Excelsior enter the season with modest budgets and recent history near the drop zone, though early form and fixture difficulty will determine how quickly the bottom group separates. Two automatic relegation spots plus a playoff for 16th mean sustained poor results among the newcomers and mid-table sides will shape implied probabilities as the campaign progresses.