The 2026 Amgen Irish Open at Doonbeg features a deep, competitive field where Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead trader consensus at 36% and 34.5% implied probability, respectively, with a broad pack clustered between 10-16%. Harrington benefits from extensive links experience and a record streak of Irish Open appearances on home soil, while Smith brings strong recent ball-striking form from PGA Tour events. The links layout at Trump International favors accurate driving and creative short-game play, suiting multiple in-form Europeans and veterans without a clear standout. This setup, combined with variable wind conditions and a 138-player field, sustains tight pricing as no single player dominates recent results or course history.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJordan Smith 72%
Niklas Lemke 36.8%
Padraig Harrington 36.5%
Ewen Ferguson 36.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Jordan Smith
72%
Niklas Lemke
37%
Padraig Harrington
37%
Ewen Ferguson
37%
Joseph Dean
23%
Niklas Noergaard
19%
Darius van Driel
18%
Ignacio Elvira
18%
Angel Ayora
17%
Daniel Bradbury
17%
Ivan Cantero
17%
Kazuma Kobori
17%
Jayden Schaper
16%
Ben Schmidt
16%
Matt Wallace
14%
Jon Rahm
13%
Andy Sullivan
13%
Patrick Reed
13%
Joost Luiten
12%
Jordan Gumberg
12%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
12%
Adrian Otaegui
12%
Alejandro Del Rey
12%
Calum Hill
12%
Jeff Winther
11%
Joaquin Niemann
11%
Hennie Du Plessis
11%
Jens Dantorp
11%
Oliver Lindell
11%
Paul Waring
11%
Harry Hall
11%
Alex Fitzpatrick
11%
Casey Jarvis
10%
Danny Willett
10%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
10%
Ashun Wu
10%
Brooks Koepka
10%
Daniel Hillier
10%
Joel Girrbach
10%
Jorge Campillo
10%
Adrian Meronk
10%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
10%
Kota Kaneko
10%
David Puig
10%
Jacob Skov Olesen
10%
Joakim Lagergren
10%
Antoine Rozner
9%
Brandon Stone
9%
Erik van Rooyen
9%
Frederic Lacroix
9%
Guido Migliozzi
9%
Angel Hidalgo
9%
Manuel Elvira
9%
Marcus Armitage
9%
Matteo Manassero
9%
Matthew Jordan
9%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
9%
Daniel Rodrigues
9%
David Ravetto
9%
Davis Bryant
9%
Dylan Frittelli
9%
Eddie Pepperell
9%
Francesco Laporta
9%
Francesco Molinari
9%
Grant Forrest
9%
Gregorio De Leo
9%
Haotong Li
9%
Jason Scrivener
9%
John Catlin
9%
Julien Guerrier
9%
Laurie Canter
9%
Marcel Schneider
9%
Marcus Helligkilde
9%
Mark Power
9%
Martin Couvra
9%
Maximilian Steinlechner
9%
Michael Hollick
9%
Mikael Lindberg
9%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
9%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
8%
J. C. Ritchie
8%
Bernd Wiesberger
7%
Nathan Kimsey
7%
Connor Syme
6%
Johannes Veerman
6%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
6%
Jacques Kruyswijk
5%
Freddy Schott
4%
Cormac Sharvin
1%
Daniel Gavins
1%
David Micheluzzi
1%
Dylan Naidoo
1%
Frankie Capan
1%
Jack Senior
1%
Jeong-Weon Ko
1%
Jung-Hwan Lee
1%
Liam Nolan
1%
Luke Donald
1%
Max Kennedy
1%
Pablo Larrazabal
1%
Jordan Smith 72%
Niklas Lemke 36.8%
Padraig Harrington 36.5%
Ewen Ferguson 36.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Jordan Smith
$0 Vol.
72%
Niklas Lemke
$0 Vol.
37%
Padraig Harrington
$0 Vol.
37%
Ewen Ferguson
$0 Vol.
37%
Joseph Dean
$0 Vol.
23%
Niklas Noergaard
$0 Vol.
19%
Darius van Driel
$0 Vol.
18%
Ignacio Elvira
$0 Vol.
18%
Angel Ayora
$0 Vol.
17%
Daniel Bradbury
$0 Vol.
17%
Ivan Cantero
$0 Vol.
17%
Kazuma Kobori
$0 Vol.
17%
Jayden Schaper
$0 Vol.
16%
Ben Schmidt
$0 Vol.
16%
Matt Wallace
$0 Vol.
14%
Jon Rahm
$0 Vol.
13%
Andy Sullivan
$0 Vol.
13%
Patrick Reed
$0 Vol.
13%
Joost Luiten
$0 Vol.
12%
Jordan Gumberg
$0 Vol.
12%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
$0 Vol.
12%
Adrian Otaegui
$0 Vol.
12%
Alejandro Del Rey
$0 Vol.
12%
Calum Hill
$0 Vol.
12%
Jeff Winther
$0 Vol.
11%
Joaquin Niemann
$0 Vol.
11%
Hennie Du Plessis
$0 Vol.
11%
Jens Dantorp
$0 Vol.
11%
Oliver Lindell
$0 Vol.
11%
Paul Waring
$0 Vol.
11%
Harry Hall
$0 Vol.
11%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
11%
Casey Jarvis
$0 Vol.
10%
Danny Willett
$0 Vol.
10%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
$0 Vol.
10%
Ashun Wu
$0 Vol.
10%
Brooks Koepka
$0 Vol.
10%
Daniel Hillier
$0 Vol.
10%
Joel Girrbach
$0 Vol.
10%
Jorge Campillo
$0 Vol.
10%
Adrian Meronk
$0 Vol.
10%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
$0 Vol.
10%
Kota Kaneko
$0 Vol.
10%
David Puig
$0 Vol.
10%
Jacob Skov Olesen
$0 Vol.
10%
Joakim Lagergren
$0 Vol.
10%
Antoine Rozner
$0 Vol.
9%
Brandon Stone
$0 Vol.
9%
Erik van Rooyen
$0 Vol.
9%
Frederic Lacroix
$0 Vol.
9%
Guido Migliozzi
$0 Vol.
9%
Angel Hidalgo
$0 Vol.
9%
Manuel Elvira
$0 Vol.
9%
Marcus Armitage
$0 Vol.
9%
Matteo Manassero
$0 Vol.
9%
Matthew Jordan
$0 Vol.
9%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
$0 Vol.
9%
Daniel Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
9%
David Ravetto
$0 Vol.
9%
Davis Bryant
$0 Vol.
9%
Dylan Frittelli
$0 Vol.
9%
Eddie Pepperell
$0 Vol.
9%
Francesco Laporta
$0 Vol.
9%
Francesco Molinari
$0 Vol.
9%
Grant Forrest
$0 Vol.
9%
Gregorio De Leo
$0 Vol.
9%
Haotong Li
$0 Vol.
9%
Jason Scrivener
$0 Vol.
9%
John Catlin
$0 Vol.
9%
Julien Guerrier
$0 Vol.
9%
Laurie Canter
$0 Vol.
9%
Marcel Schneider
$0 Vol.
9%
Marcus Helligkilde
$0 Vol.
9%
Mark Power
$0 Vol.
9%
Martin Couvra
$0 Vol.
9%
Maximilian Steinlechner
$0 Vol.
9%
Michael Hollick
$0 Vol.
9%
Mikael Lindberg
$0 Vol.
9%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
$0 Vol.
9%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
$0 Vol.
8%
J. C. Ritchie
$0 Vol.
8%
Bernd Wiesberger
$0 Vol.
7%
Nathan Kimsey
$0 Vol.
7%
Connor Syme
$0 Vol.
6%
Johannes Veerman
$0 Vol.
6%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
$0 Vol.
6%
Jacques Kruyswijk
$0 Vol.
5%
Freddy Schott
$0 Vol.
4%
Cormac Sharvin
$25 Vol.
1%
Daniel Gavins
$25 Vol.
1%
David Micheluzzi
$25 Vol.
1%
Dylan Naidoo
$25 Vol.
1%
Frankie Capan
$25 Vol.
1%
Jack Senior
$25 Vol.
1%
Jeong-Weon Ko
$25 Vol.
1%
Jung-Hwan Lee
$25 Vol.
1%
Liam Nolan
$25 Vol.
1%
Luke Donald
$25 Vol.
1%
Max Kennedy
$25 Vol.
1%
Pablo Larrazabal
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The 2026 Amgen Irish Open at Doonbeg features a deep, competitive field where Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead trader consensus at 36% and 34.5% implied probability, respectively, with a broad pack clustered between 10-16%. Harrington benefits from extensive links experience and a record streak of Irish Open appearances on home soil, while Smith brings strong recent ball-striking form from PGA Tour events. The links layout at Trump International favors accurate driving and creative short-game play, suiting multiple in-form Europeans and veterans without a clear standout. This setup, combined with variable wind conditions and a 138-player field, sustains tight pricing as no single player dominates recent results or course history.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$300End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The 2026 Amgen Irish Open at Doonbeg features a deep, competitive field where Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead trader consensus at 36% and 34.5% implied probability, respectively, with a broad pack clustered between 10-16%. Harrington benefits from extensive links experience and a record streak of Irish Open appearances on home soil, while Smith brings strong recent ball-striking form from PGA Tour events. The links layout at Trump International favors accurate driving and creative short-game play, suiting multiple in-form Europeans and veterans without a clear standout. This setup, combined with variable wind conditions and a 138-player field, sustains tight pricing as no single player dominates recent results or course history.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$300End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Amgen Irish Open at Doonbeg features a deep, competitive field where Jordan Smith and Pádraig Harrington lead trader consensus at 36% and 34.5% implied probability, respectively, with a broad pack clustered between 10-16%. Harrington benefits from extensive links experience and a record streak of Irish Open appearances on home soil, while Smith brings strong recent ball-striking form from PGA Tour events. The links layout at Trump International favors accurate driving and creative short-game play, suiting multiple in-form Europeans and veterans without a clear standout. This setup, combined with variable wind conditions and a 138-player field, sustains tight pricing as no single player dominates recent results or course history.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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