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icon for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

icon for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

$276,801 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$276,801 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$24,435 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum continues to hold the Mexican presidency amid a Morena-controlled Congress, with her approval ratings remaining in the mid-to-high 60s in recent surveys after earlier peaks above 80 percent. Economic pressures including inflation and declining purchasing power have contributed to a measurable drop in support since 2025, while security operations targeting cartel-linked officials and corruption cases have reinforced her administration’s consolidation of power. Tensions with the United States over visa revocations and alleged political interference have surfaced publicly, yet no major legislative or institutional challenges to her term have materialized. Upcoming state-level contests and policy decisions on energy and trade could influence sentiment, though constitutional term limits and party dominance currently limit near-term removal scenarios.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,801
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum continues to hold the Mexican presidency amid a Morena-controlled Congress, with her approval ratings remaining in the mid-to-high 60s in recent surveys after earlier peaks above 80 percent. Economic pressures including inflation and declining purchasing power have contributed to a measurable drop in support since 2025, while security operations targeting cartel-linked officials and corruption cases have reinforced her administration’s consolidation of power. Tensions with the United States over visa revocations and alleged political interference have surfaced publicly, yet no major legislative or institutional challenges to her term have materialized. Upcoming state-level contests and policy decisions on energy and trade could influence sentiment, though constitutional term limits and party dominance currently limit near-term removal scenarios.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,801
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 3%, followed by "January 31, 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" has generated $276.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" is "December 31, 2026" at just 3%, with "January 31, 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.