Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder charges stemming from a May 2026 shooting outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Tennessee following a physical altercation. Recent developments include his release on bond in mid-August after earlier bond adjustments and additional stipulations, with the case now moving through standard pretrial proceedings in state court. Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to no conviction, reflecting the extended timeline for any trial, the availability of self-defense arguments supported by witness accounts and video evidence, prosecutorial burdens in similar cases, and the absence of immediate plea deals or decisive new filings that would shift outcomes. Ongoing discovery and potential evidentiary challenges further support current market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,330 Vol.
$15,330 Vol.
$15,330 Vol.
$15,330 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, known online as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder charges stemming from a May 2026 shooting outside the Montgomery County Courthouse in Tennessee following a physical altercation. Recent developments include his release on bond in mid-August after earlier bond adjustments and additional stipulations, with the case now moving through standard pretrial proceedings in state court. Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to no conviction, reflecting the extended timeline for any trial, the availability of self-defense arguments supported by witness accounts and video evidence, prosecutorial burdens in similar cases, and the absence of immediate plea deals or decisive new filings that would shift outcomes. Ongoing discovery and potential evidentiary challenges further support current market positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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