The Bank of Israel’s September 3 decision follows two 25-basis-point cuts that brought the policy rate to 3.5 percent, its lowest level since 2022. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no change because inflation has stabilized near 1.6–1.9 percent—comfortably inside the 1–3 percent target—while the shekel remains firm and energy prices have eased after the U.S.–Iran understanding. Recent GDP and activity data confirm a solid post-conflict rebound, yet the central bank’s latest staff projections already embed gradual further easing toward 3 percent over the coming year, reducing the urgency for another move at the next scheduled meeting. With no major data releases or geopolitical shocks intervening before September, market pricing reflects a consensus that policymakers will pause to assess incoming inflation prints and labor-market trends before resuming the easing cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 78%
Decrease 23%
Increase <1%
$43,699 Vol.
$43,699 Vol.
Decrease
23%
No Change
78%
Increase
<1%
No Change 78%
Decrease 23%
Increase <1%
$43,699 Vol.
$43,699 Vol.
Decrease
23%
No Change
78%
Increase
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s September 3 decision follows two 25-basis-point cuts that brought the policy rate to 3.5 percent, its lowest level since 2022. Traders assign overwhelming probability to no change because inflation has stabilized near 1.6–1.9 percent—comfortably inside the 1–3 percent target—while the shekel remains firm and energy prices have eased after the U.S.–Iran understanding. Recent GDP and activity data confirm a solid post-conflict rebound, yet the central bank’s latest staff projections already embed gradual further easing toward 3 percent over the coming year, reducing the urgency for another move at the next scheduled meeting. With no major data releases or geopolitical shocks intervening before September, market pricing reflects a consensus that policymakers will pause to assess incoming inflation prints and labor-market trends before resuming the easing cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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