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icon for Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?
Politics·Malaysia

Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?

icon for Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?
Politics·Malaysia

Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?

$11,013 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$11,013 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$1,084 Vol.

5%

December 31, 2026

$3,129 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the Madani unity government formed after the 2022 hung parliament, yet trader sentiment reflects ongoing risks from coalition fractures and internal party defections. Key recent developments include senior PKR figures exiting in May 2026 to form a rival party, prompting Anwar to consider a possible snap election, alongside cabinet tensions that led to warnings against public criticism of coalition partners ahead of the August 2026 Negeri Sembilan state poll. A March 2026 constitutional amendment for a ten-year prime ministerial term limit failed by two votes, while Anwar’s August 10 medical procedure highlighted health considerations at age 79. The next general election is scheduled for 2028, but defections, state results, and reform delivery will continue shaping assessments of leadership stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,013
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the Madani unity government formed after the 2022 hung parliament, yet trader sentiment reflects ongoing risks from coalition fractures and internal party defections. Key recent developments include senior PKR figures exiting in May 2026 to form a rival party, prompting Anwar to consider a possible snap election, alongside cabinet tensions that led to warnings against public criticism of coalition partners ahead of the August 2026 Negeri Sembilan state poll. A March 2026 constitutional amendment for a ten-year prime ministerial term limit failed by two votes, while Anwar’s August 10 medical procedure highlighted health considerations at age 79. The next general election is scheduled for 2028, but defections, state results, and reform delivery will continue shaping assessments of leadership stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,013
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 20%, followed by "September 30, 2026" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?" is "December 31, 2026" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30, 2026" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.