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46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner

icon for 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
Sports·Chess

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner

India 28%

Uzbekistan 24%

United States of America 22%

China 8%

Polymarket
NEW

India 28%

Uzbekistan 24%

United States of America 22%

China 8%

Polymarket
NEW

India

$145 Vol.

28%

Uzbekistan

$196 Vol.

24%

United States of America

$157 Vol.

22%

China

$806 Vol.

8%

Armenia

$152 Vol.

5%

Germany

$212 Vol.

4%

Ukraine

$26 Vol.

4%

Azerbaijan

$276 Vol.

4%

Georgia

$26 Vol.

4%

Poland

$26 Vol.

4%

Spain

$140 Vol.

3%

Netherlands

$226 Vol.

3%

Hungary

$26 Vol.

3%

France

$129 Vol.

3%

England

$26 Vol.

3%

Serbia

$123 Vol.

2%

Bulgaria

$298 Vol.

2%

Vietnam

$16 Vol.

2%

Turkiye

$16 Vol.

2%

Norway

$126 Vol.

1%

Iran

$184 Vol.

1%

Sweden

$180 Vol.

1%

Turkmenistan

$198 Vol.

1%

Argentina

$51 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$51 Vol.

<1%

Brazil

$51 Vol.

<1%

Canada

$51 Vol.

<1%

Chile

$51 Vol.

<1%

Colombia

$51 Vol.

<1%

Croatia

$51 Vol.

<1%

Czech Republic

$51 Vol.

<1%

Egypt

$51 Vol.

<1%

Greece

$51 Vol.

<1%

Kazakhstan

$51 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$51 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$51 Vol.

<1%

Moldova

$51 Vol.

<1%

Mexico

$51 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$51 Vol.

<1%

Slovenia

$51 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The top seeds for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand remain tightly bunched after recent team line-up confirmations, with the United States heading average ratings at 2751, followed closely by defending champions India and host nation Uzbekistan. These three squads feature elite rosters including Caruana, So, Aronian, Niemann and Liang for the U.S.; Gukesh, Arjun Erigaisi and the core from their 2024 gold-medal side for India; and Abdusattorov, Sindarov plus supporting talent for Uzbekistan. The compressed seeding gap, combined with an 11-round Swiss format against a 200-plus team field, leaves little margin for any single upset or board-point swing. Home-crowd support and familiarity with local conditions further bolster Uzbekistan’s position, while India’s recent title defense and the U.S. depth sustain their respective implied probabilities near the front of the market. Lower-rated contenders such as China trail noticeably, reflecting both rating differentials and historical performance patterns in team events.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,571
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The top seeds for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand remain tightly bunched after recent team line-up confirmations, with the United States heading average ratings at 2751, followed closely by defending champions India and host nation Uzbekistan. These three squads feature elite rosters including Caruana, So, Aronian, Niemann and Liang for the U.S.; Gukesh, Arjun Erigaisi and the core from their 2024 gold-medal side for India; and Abdusattorov, Sindarov plus supporting talent for Uzbekistan. The compressed seeding gap, combined with an 11-round Swiss format against a 200-plus team field, leaves little margin for any single upset or board-point swing. Home-crowd support and familiarity with local conditions further bolster Uzbekistan’s position, while India’s recent title defense and the U.S. depth sustain their respective implied probabilities near the front of the market. Lower-rated contenders such as China trail noticeably, reflecting both rating differentials and historical performance patterns in team events.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,571
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "India" at 28%, followed by "Uzbekistan" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" is "India" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Uzbekistan" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.