Skip to main content
icon for 2026 Song of the Summer

2026 Song of the Summer

icon for 2026 Song of the Summer

2026 Song of the Summer

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson 2.7%

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 1.1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks <1%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless <1%

Polymarket

$19,027 Vol.

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson 2.7%

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 1.1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks <1%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless <1%

Polymarket

$19,027 Vol.

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson

$486 Vol.

3%

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$4,221 Vol.

1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks

$1,734 Vol.

1%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless

$4,743 Vol.

<1%

Bangaranga - DARA

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro

$1,052 Vol.

<1%

Kingdom of Fear - Cameron Whitcomb

$1,813 Vol.

<1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

$1,169 Vol.

<1%

Talk To You - ANOTR & 54 Ultra

$1,141 Vol.

<1%

Raindance - Dave & Tems

$1,296 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).A crowded field of summer releases has left trader sentiment split across dozens of tracks with no single dominant frontrunner yet on Polymarket. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads Billboard’s Hot 100 and Songs of the Summer tally through sustained streaming and radio airplay, yet the market’s low single-digit odds on listed contenders like Zara Larsson’s “Midnight Sun” and Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” reflect ongoing chart flux and competition from Drake’s “Janice STFU,” Taylor Swift cuts, and dance-leaning tracks such as ANOTR & 54 Ultra’s “Talk To You.” Recent August updates show shifting positions driven by playlist momentum and genre crossovers, while historical patterns favor songs that sustain top-five placement through Labor Day. Key swing factors include next week’s streaming tallies, any late-season drops, and platform playlist refreshes that could consolidate or fragment support before the unofficial cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$19,027
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).A crowded field of summer releases has left trader sentiment split across dozens of tracks with no single dominant frontrunner yet on Polymarket. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads Billboard’s Hot 100 and Songs of the Summer tally through sustained streaming and radio airplay, yet the market’s low single-digit odds on listed contenders like Zara Larsson’s “Midnight Sun” and Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” reflect ongoing chart flux and competition from Drake’s “Janice STFU,” Taylor Swift cuts, and dance-leaning tracks such as ANOTR & 54 Ultra’s “Talk To You.” Recent August updates show shifting positions driven by playlist momentum and genre crossovers, while historical patterns favor songs that sustain top-five placement through Labor Day. Key swing factors include next week’s streaming tallies, any late-season drops, and platform playlist refreshes that could consolidate or fragment support before the unofficial cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$19,027
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

Related

icon for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 29?

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 29?

50%
icon for Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?

100%
icon for Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?

Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Song of the Summer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" at 3%, followed by "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Song of the Summer" has generated $19K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Song of the Summer," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "2026 Song of the Summer" is "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" at just 3%, with "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" close behind at 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "2026 Song of the Summer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.