Build a combo
Skip to main content
Sports·UFC

Alik Lorenz – Mahamed Aly

3d 19h
Polymarket
Alik Lorenz
Alik Lorenz
11:00 PMAugust 18
Mahamed Aly
Mahamed Aly
$15.02K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$15.0K Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Lorenz to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Aly to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alik Lorenz defeats Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahamed Aly defeats Alik Lorenz at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Both light heavyweights enter their Aug. 18 Dana White’s Contender Series bout at the UFC Apex with identical 7-2 and 5-1 records and prior DWCS setbacks, creating a high-stakes rematch opportunity for a UFC contract. Alik Lorenz, at 6'2", has finished all seven wins inside the distance, while Mahamed Aly (6'3") owns four first- or second-round stoppages and a recent March 2026 body-shot knockout. The matchup pits comparable size, reach, and finishing rates against each other on short rest after regional activity, with no reported injuries or roster changes. Traders view the bout as closely contested given the fighters’ parallel paths and similar Elo profiles, focusing on which prospect can deliver the emphatic finish needed for Dana White’s approval.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$15,023
End Date
Aug 19, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mahamed Aly and the Alik Lorenz, scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Aly is currently priced at 79¢ (79% implied probability) and Lorenz at 22¢ (22%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Aly vs. Lorenz” market has generated $15K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Aly vs. Lorenz,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAH4 at 79¢ and ALI8 at 22¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Aly vs. Lorenz” show Mahamed Aly at 79¢ (79% implied probability) and Alik Lorenz at 22¢ (22%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Alik Lorenz – Mahamed Aly

3d 19h
Polymarket
Alik Lorenz
Alik Lorenz
11:00 PMAugust 18
Mahamed Aly
Mahamed Aly
$15.02K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$15.0K Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Lorenz to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Aly to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alik Lorenz defeats Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahamed Aly defeats Alik Lorenz at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Both light heavyweights enter their Aug. 18 Dana White’s Contender Series bout at the UFC Apex with identical 7-2 and 5-1 records and prior DWCS setbacks, creating a high-stakes rematch opportunity for a UFC contract. Alik Lorenz, at 6'2", has finished all seven wins inside the distance, while Mahamed Aly (6'3") owns four first- or second-round stoppages and a recent March 2026 body-shot knockout. The matchup pits comparable size, reach, and finishing rates against each other on short rest after regional activity, with no reported injuries or roster changes. Traders view the bout as closely contested given the fighters’ parallel paths and similar Elo profiles, focusing on which prospect can deliver the emphatic finish needed for Dana White’s approval.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$15,023
End Date
Aug 19, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mahamed Aly and the Alik Lorenz, scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Aly is currently priced at 79¢ (79% implied probability) and Lorenz at 22¢ (22%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Aly vs. Lorenz” market has generated $15K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Aly vs. Lorenz,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAH4 at 79¢ and ALI8 at 22¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Aly vs. Lorenz” show Mahamed Aly at 79¢ (79% implied probability) and Alik Lorenz at 22¢ (22%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.