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Sports·UFC

Alik Lorenz – Mahamed Aly

4d 12h
Polymarket
Alik Lorenz
Alik Lorenz
11:00 PMAugust 18
Mahamed Aly
Mahamed Aly
$14.98K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$15.0K Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Lorenz to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Aly to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alik Lorenz defeats Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahamed Aly defeats Alik Lorenz at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Alik Lorenz (7-2) meets Mahamed Aly (5-1) in a light heavyweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series Season 10, Week 2, August 18 at the Las Vegas Apex. Both fighters return for a second DWCS appearance after 2025 losses, heightening motivation in a division where early finishes often secure UFC contracts. Lorenz brings a higher win total and recent first-round TKO momentum from LFA, while Aly owns an 80% finish rate with four knockouts and a March 2026 KO victory. Similar age (both 32) and reach frame a striking-heavy matchup where power and durability stand out. Community consensus and implied probabilities favor Aly's finishing threat, though Lorenz's experience creates realistic upset potential in the short three-round format. No reported injuries or roster changes affect the bout.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$14,978
End Date
Aug 19, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mahamed Aly and the Alik Lorenz, scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Aly is currently priced at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and Lorenz at 30¢ (30%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Aly vs. Lorenz” market has generated $15K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Aly vs. Lorenz,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAH4 at 71¢ and ALI8 at 30¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Aly vs. Lorenz” show Mahamed Aly at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and Alik Lorenz at 30¢ (30%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Alik Lorenz – Mahamed Aly

4d 12h
Polymarket
Alik Lorenz
Alik Lorenz
11:00 PMAugust 18
Mahamed Aly
Mahamed Aly
$14.98K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$15.0K Vol.

Totals

$0 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Lorenz to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Aly to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alik Lorenz defeats Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahamed Aly defeats Alik Lorenz at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Alik Lorenz and Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 1, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Alik Lorenz (7-2) meets Mahamed Aly (5-1) in a light heavyweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series Season 10, Week 2, August 18 at the Las Vegas Apex. Both fighters return for a second DWCS appearance after 2025 losses, heightening motivation in a division where early finishes often secure UFC contracts. Lorenz brings a higher win total and recent first-round TKO momentum from LFA, while Aly owns an 80% finish rate with four knockouts and a March 2026 KO victory. Similar age (both 32) and reach frame a striking-heavy matchup where power and durability stand out. Community consensus and implied probabilities favor Aly's finishing threat, though Lorenz's experience creates realistic upset potential in the short three-round format. No reported injuries or roster changes affect the bout.

This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$14,978
End Date
Aug 19, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mahamed Aly and the Alik Lorenz, scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Aly is currently priced at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and Lorenz at 30¢ (30%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Aly vs. Lorenz” market has generated $15K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Aly vs. Lorenz,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAH4 at 71¢ and ALI8 at 30¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Aly vs. Lorenz” show Mahamed Aly at 71¢ (71% implied probability) and Alik Lorenz at 30¢ (30%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Aly vs. Lorenz” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.

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