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World·Trump-Machado

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

icon for Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
World·Trump-Machado

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

13% chance
Polymarket

$113,887 Vol.

13% chance
Polymarket

$113,887 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trump has publicly stated that María Corina Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to lead Venezuela and has instead engaged Delcy Rodríguez as acting president following the ouster of Nicolás Maduro. Official White House meetings in January 2026, including Machado's presentation of her Nobel Peace Prize medal, produced no endorsement and left U.S. policy oriented toward the Rodríguez transition. Subsequent developments through mid-2026, including friction over Machado's attempted return and administration comments highlighting "needless drama," have reinforced this stance. With Venezuela's leadership transition underway and no scheduled 2026 presidential vote altering the timeline, traders see little near-term catalyst for a Trump endorsement of Machado.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$113,887
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trump has publicly stated that María Corina Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to lead Venezuela and has instead engaged Delcy Rodríguez as acting president following the ouster of Nicolás Maduro. Official White House meetings in January 2026, including Machado's presentation of her Nobel Peace Prize medal, produced no endorsement and left U.S. policy oriented toward the Rodríguez transition. Subsequent developments through mid-2026, including friction over Machado's attempted return and administration comments highlighting "needless drama," have reinforced this stance. With Venezuela's leadership transition underway and no scheduled 2026 presidential vote altering the timeline, traders see little near-term catalyst for a Trump endorsement of Machado.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$113,887
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 13% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 13¢, the market collectively assigns a 13% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" has generated $113.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" is 13% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 13% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.