The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its third week as of mid-August 2026, centers on articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and grave threats, with testimony from auditors and officials examining fund disbursements and related records. The Senate, acting as the impeachment court, requires a two-thirds supermajority for conviction, and proceedings have featured defense challenges alongside prosecution presentations without a clear path to the necessary votes amid divided senator-judges. The Supreme Court recently dismissed related petitions, allowing the trial to continue uninterrupted. These factors contribute to trader consensus viewing conviction as only marginally less probable than acquittal, given procedural thresholds and the case's evidentiary stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
42% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
42% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its third week as of mid-August 2026, centers on articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and grave threats, with testimony from auditors and officials examining fund disbursements and related records. The Senate, acting as the impeachment court, requires a two-thirds supermajority for conviction, and proceedings have featured defense challenges alongside prosecution presentations without a clear path to the necessary votes amid divided senator-judges. The Supreme Court recently dismissed related petitions, allowing the trial to continue uninterrupted. These factors contribute to trader consensus viewing conviction as only marginally less probable than acquittal, given procedural thresholds and the case's evidentiary stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$9,180End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its third week as of mid-August 2026, centers on articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and grave threats, with testimony from auditors and officials examining fund disbursements and related records. The Senate, acting as the impeachment court, requires a two-thirds supermajority for conviction, and proceedings have featured defense challenges alongside prosecution presentations without a clear path to the necessary votes amid divided senator-judges. The Supreme Court recently dismissed related petitions, allowing the trial to continue uninterrupted. These factors contribute to trader consensus viewing conviction as only marginally less probable than acquittal, given procedural thresholds and the case's evidentiary stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$9,180End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its third week as of mid-August 2026, centers on articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and grave threats, with testimony from auditors and officials examining fund disbursements and related records. The Senate, acting as the impeachment court, requires a two-thirds supermajority for conviction, and proceedings have featured defense challenges alongside prosecution presentations without a clear path to the necessary votes amid divided senator-judges. The Supreme Court recently dismissed related petitions, allowing the trial to continue uninterrupted. These factors contribute to trader consensus viewing conviction as only marginally less probable than acquittal, given procedural thresholds and the case's evidentiary stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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