Merab Dvalishvili’s expressed preference for a trilogy bout with Petr Yan, combined with recent reports targeting the matchup for October in Abu Dhabi, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind Yan at 90.5% implied probability. Both fighters have publicly signaled readiness following their December 2025 rematch, and Merab has repeatedly stated he wants to face the strongest available opponent rather than alternatives such as Umar Nurmagomedov or Song Yadong. The long-standing rivalry and absence of confirmed bookings for other contenders reinforce this positioning. Factors that could still shift the outcome include injury setbacks, scheduling delays, or a last-minute UFC pivot to a different ranked bantamweight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 91%
Umar Nurmagomedov 2.6%
Ricky Simón 1.3%
Song Yadong 1.3%
$1,165,421 Vol.
$1,165,421 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Petr Yan
91%
Umar Nurmagomedov
3%
Ricky Simón
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Sean O'Malley
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Petr Yan 91%
Umar Nurmagomedov 2.6%
Ricky Simón 1.3%
Song Yadong 1.3%
$1,165,421 Vol.
$1,165,421 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Petr Yan
$5,449 Vol.
91%
Umar Nurmagomedov
$1,423 Vol.
3%
Ricky Simón
$346,836 Vol.
1%
Song Yadong
$185,080 Vol.
1%
Pedro Munhoz
$691 Vol.
1%
Cory Sandhagen
$868 Vol.
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
$945 Vol.
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
$1,993 Vol.
1%
Sean O'Malley
$918 Vol.
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
Payton Talbott
$2,137 Vol.
<1%
Rob Font
$477,592 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
$140,456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Merab Dvalishvili’s expressed preference for a trilogy bout with Petr Yan, combined with recent reports targeting the matchup for October in Abu Dhabi, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind Yan at 90.5% implied probability. Both fighters have publicly signaled readiness following their December 2025 rematch, and Merab has repeatedly stated he wants to face the strongest available opponent rather than alternatives such as Umar Nurmagomedov or Song Yadong. The long-standing rivalry and absence of confirmed bookings for other contenders reinforce this positioning. Factors that could still shift the outcome include injury setbacks, scheduling delays, or a last-minute UFC pivot to a different ranked bantamweight.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$1,165,421End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Merab Dvalishvili’s expressed preference for a trilogy bout with Petr Yan, combined with recent reports targeting the matchup for October in Abu Dhabi, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind Yan at 90.5% implied probability. Both fighters have publicly signaled readiness following their December 2025 rematch, and Merab has repeatedly stated he wants to face the strongest available opponent rather than alternatives such as Umar Nurmagomedov or Song Yadong. The long-standing rivalry and absence of confirmed bookings for other contenders reinforce this positioning. Factors that could still shift the outcome include injury setbacks, scheduling delays, or a last-minute UFC pivot to a different ranked bantamweight.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$1,165,421End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Merab Dvalishvili’s expressed preference for a trilogy bout with Petr Yan, combined with recent reports targeting the matchup for October in Abu Dhabi, has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind Yan at 90.5% implied probability. Both fighters have publicly signaled readiness following their December 2025 rematch, and Merab has repeatedly stated he wants to face the strongest available opponent rather than alternatives such as Umar Nurmagomedov or Song Yadong. The long-standing rivalry and absence of confirmed bookings for other contenders reinforce this positioning. Factors that could still shift the outcome include injury setbacks, scheduling delays, or a last-minute UFC pivot to a different ranked bantamweight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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