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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$277,786 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$277,786 Vol.

Polymarket

Aljamain Sterling

$216 Vol.

79%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,078 Vol.

50%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

47%

Ciryl Gane

$1,582 Vol.

38%

Ian Machado Garry

$758 Vol.

31%

Dricus Du Plessis

$129 Vol.

27%

Manel Kape

$45,637 Vol.

23%

Paddy Pimblett

$4,108 Vol.

22%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$1,311 Vol.

21%

Charles Oliveira

$80 Vol.

21%

Sean O'Malley

$1,464 Vol.

19%

Sergei Pavlovich

$190 Vol.

11%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,305 Vol.

15%

Alexander Volkov

$572 Vol.

11%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,313 Vol.

11%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$57 Vol.

6%

Yair Rodriguez

$40 Vol.

5%

Max Holloway

$6 Vol.

16%

Belal Muhammad

$380 Vol.

4%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$1,553 Vol.

2%

Leon Edwards

$41,180 Vol.

2%

Kamaru Usman

$6,373 Vol.

1%

Jiří Procházka

$3,641 Vol.

1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$49,209 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$302 Vol.

<1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$1,071 Vol.

30%

Diego Lopes

$4,951 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple title changes have already reshaped the 2026 UFC landscape, with Justin Gaethje claiming the lightweight belt via TKO over Ilia Topuria in June, Carlos Ulberg capturing light heavyweight gold, and Sean Strickland securing middleweight honors. Islam Makhachev’s lightweight defense against Ian Machado Garry headlines UFC 330 on August 15, while Mackenzie Dern faces Gillian Robertson in the women’s strawweight title bout, directly influencing year-end champion probabilities. Divisions such as flyweight remain volatile behind Joshua Van’s defenses, and lightweight contenders like Arman Tsarukyan and Charles Oliveira await matchmaking clarity amid stacked rankings. Recent form, injury recoveries, and potential rematches will continue to shift implied probabilities for remaining title opportunities through December.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$277,786
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple title changes have already reshaped the 2026 UFC landscape, with Justin Gaethje claiming the lightweight belt via TKO over Ilia Topuria in June, Carlos Ulberg capturing light heavyweight gold, and Sean Strickland securing middleweight honors. Islam Makhachev’s lightweight defense against Ian Machado Garry headlines UFC 330 on August 15, while Mackenzie Dern faces Gillian Robertson in the women’s strawweight title bout, directly influencing year-end champion probabilities. Divisions such as flyweight remain volatile behind Joshua Van’s defenses, and lightweight contenders like Arman Tsarukyan and Charles Oliveira await matchmaking clarity amid stacked rankings. Recent form, injury recoveries, and potential rematches will continue to shift implied probabilities for remaining title opportunities through December.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$277,786
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $277.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.