Islam Makhachev holds an overwhelming 78% implied probability in trader consensus for UFC pound-for-pound #1 at the end of 2026, driven by his status as welterweight champion with a near-unblemished record and recent successful defenses that include a unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena. His move up from lightweight has reinforced perceptions of elite skill and adaptability, outpacing rivals in official rankings. Alexander Volkanovski sits at 14.3% as the consistent #2 featherweight champion amid limited recent title activity, while Alex Pereira and others like Ilia Topuria (0.9%) face depressed odds following notable 2026 setbacks that disrupted prior momentum. Petr Yan and additional contenders trail further due to division positioning and head-to-head records, with market pricing reflecting the wisdom of crowds on long-term trajectory through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIslam Makhachev 78%
Alexander Volkanovski 13.9%
Alex Pereira 3.8%
Petr Yan 2.6%
$686,752 Vol.
$686,752 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
78%
Alexander Volkanovski
14%
Alex Pereira
4%
Petr Yan
3%
Tom Aspinall
1%
Ilia Topuria
1%
Magomed Ankalaev
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Khamzat Chimaev
1%
Dricus Du Plessis
1%
Arman Tsarukyan
1%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
Max Holloway
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili
<1%
Joshua Van
<1%
Islam Makhachev 78%
Alexander Volkanovski 13.9%
Alex Pereira 3.8%
Petr Yan 2.6%
$686,752 Vol.
$686,752 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
78%
Alexander Volkanovski
14%
Alex Pereira
4%
Petr Yan
3%
Tom Aspinall
1%
Ilia Topuria
1%
Magomed Ankalaev
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Khamzat Chimaev
1%
Dricus Du Plessis
1%
Arman Tsarukyan
1%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
Max Holloway
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili
<1%
Joshua Van
<1%
If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds an overwhelming 78% implied probability in trader consensus for UFC pound-for-pound #1 at the end of 2026, driven by his status as welterweight champion with a near-unblemished record and recent successful defenses that include a unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena. His move up from lightweight has reinforced perceptions of elite skill and adaptability, outpacing rivals in official rankings. Alexander Volkanovski sits at 14.3% as the consistent #2 featherweight champion amid limited recent title activity, while Alex Pereira and others like Ilia Topuria (0.9%) face depressed odds following notable 2026 setbacks that disrupted prior momentum. Petr Yan and additional contenders trail further due to division positioning and head-to-head records, with market pricing reflecting the wisdom of crowds on long-term trajectory through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions