In League of Legends esports, particularly LCK and LPL circuits, roster changes before December typically reflect end-of-summer split evaluations, contract expirations, and preparation for the 2027 season or winter split. Trader sentiment centers on teams with disappointing regular-season results or those facing free-agency windows, where underperforming rosters often pursue upgrades via trades, buyouts, or academy promotions. Recent form in playoffs or regional qualifiers, alongside player availability and organizational priorities like Worlds 2026 contention, heavily influence probabilities. The wisdom of crowds prices higher likelihoods for squads showing instability in standings or recent matches, while established lineups with strong synergy or locked-in talent face lower odds of movement. Factors such as coaching adjustments or import rules can accelerate shifts in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,907 Vol.

Fluxo W7M
100%

Invictus Gaming
71%

DN SOOPers
69%

Suzhou LNG Esports
72%

Shifters
57%

GIANTX
56%

Cloud9
54%

Fnatic
60%

Team Heretics
50%

Dignitas
50%

LYON
50%

Shopify Rebellion
50%

Disguised
50%

LGD GAMING
50%

FURIA
50%

Sentinels
46%

Hanwha Life Esports
45%

Movistar KOI
55%

Dplus KIA
43%

THUNDER TALK GAMING
40%

Karmine Corp
21%

NONGSHIM RED FORCE
37%

G2 Esports
-

Natus Vincere
50%

SK Gaming
50%

Team Vitality
50%

Gen.G Esports
66%

T1
67%

HANJIN BRION
73%

BNK FEARX
50%

KIWOOM DRX
40%

kt Rolster
37%

TOP ESPORTS
50%

FlyQuest
50%

Team Liquid
-

Anyone's Legend
30%

BILIBILI GAMING
50%

EDWARD GAMING
50%

Xi'an Team WE
40%

Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
36%

WeiboGaming
35%

LEVIATÁN
50%

LOUD
50%

paiN Gaming
50%

RED Canids
50%

Vivo Keyd Stars
50%

LØS
50%
$15,907 Vol.

Fluxo W7M
100%

Invictus Gaming
71%

DN SOOPers
69%

Suzhou LNG Esports
72%

Shifters
57%

GIANTX
56%

Cloud9
54%

Fnatic
60%

Team Heretics
50%

Dignitas
50%

LYON
50%

Shopify Rebellion
50%

Disguised
50%

LGD GAMING
50%

FURIA
50%

Sentinels
46%

Hanwha Life Esports
45%

Movistar KOI
55%

Dplus KIA
43%

THUNDER TALK GAMING
40%

Karmine Corp
21%

NONGSHIM RED FORCE
37%

G2 Esports
-

Natus Vincere
50%

SK Gaming
50%

Team Vitality
50%

Gen.G Esports
66%

T1
67%

HANJIN BRION
73%

BNK FEARX
50%

KIWOOM DRX
40%

kt Rolster
37%

TOP ESPORTS
50%

FlyQuest
50%

Team Liquid
-

Anyone's Legend
30%

BILIBILI GAMING
50%

EDWARD GAMING
50%

Xi'an Team WE
40%

Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
36%

WeiboGaming
35%

LEVIATÁN
50%

LOUD
50%

paiN Gaming
50%

RED Canids
50%

Vivo Keyd Stars
50%

LØS
50%
The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.
A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In League of Legends esports, particularly LCK and LPL circuits, roster changes before December typically reflect end-of-summer split evaluations, contract expirations, and preparation for the 2027 season or winter split. Trader sentiment centers on teams with disappointing regular-season results or those facing free-agency windows, where underperforming rosters often pursue upgrades via trades, buyouts, or academy promotions. Recent form in playoffs or regional qualifiers, alongside player availability and organizational priorities like Worlds 2026 contention, heavily influence probabilities. The wisdom of crowds prices higher likelihoods for squads showing instability in standings or recent matches, while established lineups with strong synergy or locked-in talent face lower odds of movement. Factors such as coaching adjustments or import rules can accelerate shifts in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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