Walmart’s Q2 U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) market prices the 3–4.5% band at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting management’s 4–5% constant-currency net-sales guidance issued after the May 2026 quarter and analyst consensus near 3.6%. The prior quarter’s 4.1% print and continued strength in grocery, health & wellness, and e-commerce (up 26% globally) underpin the central tendency, while tempered full-year outlook and moderating transaction growth create the modest downside skew visible in the 18.4% probability assigned to sub-3%. The August 20 earnings release remains the immediate catalyst that will resolve the contract.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3%-4.5% 77%
<3% 18.5%
4.5%-6% 5.2%
7.5%+ <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
<3%
19%
3%-4.5%
77%
4.5%-6%
5%
6%-7.5%
1%
7.5%+
1%
3%-4.5% 77%
<3% 18.5%
4.5%-6% 5.2%
7.5%+ <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
<3%
$831 Vol.
19%
3%-4.5%
$2,284 Vol.
77%
4.5%-6%
$326 Vol.
5%
6%-7.5%
$319 Vol.
1%
7.5%+
$257 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart’s Q2 U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) market prices the 3–4.5% band at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting management’s 4–5% constant-currency net-sales guidance issued after the May 2026 quarter and analyst consensus near 3.6%. The prior quarter’s 4.1% print and continued strength in grocery, health & wellness, and e-commerce (up 26% globally) underpin the central tendency, while tempered full-year outlook and moderating transaction growth create the modest downside skew visible in the 18.4% probability assigned to sub-3%. The August 20 earnings release remains the immediate catalyst that will resolve the contract.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$4,017End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart’s Q2 U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) market prices the 3–4.5% band at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting management’s 4–5% constant-currency net-sales guidance issued after the May 2026 quarter and analyst consensus near 3.6%. The prior quarter’s 4.1% print and continued strength in grocery, health & wellness, and e-commerce (up 26% globally) underpin the central tendency, while tempered full-year outlook and moderating transaction growth create the modest downside skew visible in the 18.4% probability assigned to sub-3%. The August 20 earnings release remains the immediate catalyst that will resolve the contract.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$4,017End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart’s Q2 U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) market prices the 3–4.5% band at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting management’s 4–5% constant-currency net-sales guidance issued after the May 2026 quarter and analyst consensus near 3.6%. The prior quarter’s 4.1% print and continued strength in grocery, health & wellness, and e-commerce (up 26% globally) underpin the central tendency, while tempered full-year outlook and moderating transaction growth create the modest downside skew visible in the 18.4% probability assigned to sub-3%. The August 20 earnings release remains the immediate catalyst that will resolve the contract.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions