Walmart’s full-year FY2027 net sales guidance of 3.5%–4.5% in constant currency, combined with a recent Bank of America downgrade of Q2 U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel to 3.5% from 4%, anchors trader consensus around the 3%–4.5% band at 83.5% implied probability. Elevated fuel costs are pressuring consumer wallets and prompting retailers to absorb more promotional activity, while prior-quarter U.S. comps of 4.1% showed sequential moderation. With the Q2 report due August 20, markets price limited upside risk above 4.5% absent a clear acceleration in grocery or health-and-wellness traffic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3%-4.5% 84%
4.5%-6% 6.9%
6%-7.5% 4.9%
<3% 3.4%
<3%
3%
3%-4.5%
84%
4.5%-6%
9%
6%-7.5%
5%
7.5%+
6%
3%-4.5% 84%
4.5%-6% 6.9%
6%-7.5% 4.9%
<3% 3.4%
<3%
3%
3%-4.5%
84%
4.5%-6%
9%
6%-7.5%
5%
7.5%+
6%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart’s full-year FY2027 net sales guidance of 3.5%–4.5% in constant currency, combined with a recent Bank of America downgrade of Q2 U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel to 3.5% from 4%, anchors trader consensus around the 3%–4.5% band at 83.5% implied probability. Elevated fuel costs are pressuring consumer wallets and prompting retailers to absorb more promotional activity, while prior-quarter U.S. comps of 4.1% showed sequential moderation. With the Q2 report due August 20, markets price limited upside risk above 4.5% absent a clear acceleration in grocery or health-and-wellness traffic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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