Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who advanced from the August 11 primary. Scott’s consistent polling leads, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead by double digits, underpin the strong Republican consensus among traders. Vermont’s electorate has repeatedly supported the moderate incumbent across cycles despite the state’s Democratic lean, with recent primary results confirming the general-election matchup and no major shifts in fundraising or endorsements altering that dynamic ahead of the November vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$43,178 Vol.
$43,178 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
87%
Democrat
12%
$43,178 Vol.
$43,178 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$19,833 Vol.
87%
Democrat
$23,345 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who advanced from the August 11 primary. Scott’s consistent polling leads, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead by double digits, underpin the strong Republican consensus among traders. Vermont’s electorate has repeatedly supported the moderate incumbent across cycles despite the state’s Democratic lean, with recent primary results confirming the general-election matchup and no major shifts in fundraising or endorsements altering that dynamic ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$43,178End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who advanced from the August 11 primary. Scott’s consistent polling leads, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead by double digits, underpin the strong Republican consensus among traders. Vermont’s electorate has repeatedly supported the moderate incumbent across cycles despite the state’s Democratic lean, with recent primary results confirming the general-election matchup and no major shifts in fundraising or endorsements altering that dynamic ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$43,178End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who advanced from the August 11 primary. Scott’s consistent polling leads, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead by double digits, underpin the strong Republican consensus among traders. Vermont’s electorate has repeatedly supported the moderate incumbent across cycles despite the state’s Democratic lean, with recent primary results confirming the general-election matchup and no major shifts in fundraising or endorsements altering that dynamic ahead of the November vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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