U.S. officials have consistently prioritized engagement with Venezuela's interim government under Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, easing certain sanctions and backing negotiations that exclude prominent opposition figures like María Corina Machado. President Trump has publicly cited insufficient domestic support for recognizing Machado as leader, aligning instead with a phased stabilization process ahead of any transition. Recent U.S.-facilitated talks in July and August 2026 further sidelined her, reflecting trader consensus that formal recognition remains unlikely by year-end absent major shifts in bilateral policy or Venezuelan internal dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$179,084 Vol.
$179,084 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% chance
$179,084 Vol.
$179,084 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. officials have consistently prioritized engagement with Venezuela's interim government under Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, easing certain sanctions and backing negotiations that exclude prominent opposition figures like María Corina Machado. President Trump has publicly cited insufficient domestic support for recognizing Machado as leader, aligning instead with a phased stabilization process ahead of any transition. Recent U.S.-facilitated talks in July and August 2026 further sidelined her, reflecting trader consensus that formal recognition remains unlikely by year-end absent major shifts in bilateral policy or Venezuelan internal dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$179,084End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. officials have consistently prioritized engagement with Venezuela's interim government under Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, easing certain sanctions and backing negotiations that exclude prominent opposition figures like María Corina Machado. President Trump has publicly cited insufficient domestic support for recognizing Machado as leader, aligning instead with a phased stabilization process ahead of any transition. Recent U.S.-facilitated talks in July and August 2026 further sidelined her, reflecting trader consensus that formal recognition remains unlikely by year-end absent major shifts in bilateral policy or Venezuelan internal dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$179,084End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have consistently prioritized engagement with Venezuela's interim government under Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, easing certain sanctions and backing negotiations that exclude prominent opposition figures like María Corina Machado. President Trump has publicly cited insufficient domestic support for recognizing Machado as leader, aligning instead with a phased stabilization process ahead of any transition. Recent U.S.-facilitated talks in July and August 2026 further sidelined her, reflecting trader consensus that formal recognition remains unlikely by year-end absent major shifts in bilateral policy or Venezuelan internal dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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