Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has already surpassed $481 million domestically just weeks after its July 17 release, driven by a record $124.5 million opening, robust word-of-mouth, and premium-format play that has kept it atop the box office. Its R-rated epic scope, combined with strong critical and audience reception, has produced legs that position it for easy passage of the $350 million threshold by August 31. Traders see the 98.4% implied probability on that outcome as reflecting the film’s established momentum and limited near-term competition. An upset below $350 million would require an unprecedented collapse in the final two weeks, something historical patterns for comparable Nolan titles and current tracking make highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31?
350m+ 98.4%
300 - 350m 1.1%
250 - 300m <1%
<200m <1%
$49,791 Vol.
$49,791 Vol.
<200m
<1%
200 - 250m
<1%
250 - 300m
1%
300 - 350m
1%
350m+
98%
350m+ 98.4%
300 - 350m 1.1%
250 - 300m <1%
<200m <1%
$49,791 Vol.
$49,791 Vol.
<200m
<1%
200 - 250m
<1%
250 - 300m
1%
300 - 350m
1%
350m+
98%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has already surpassed $481 million domestically just weeks after its July 17 release, driven by a record $124.5 million opening, robust word-of-mouth, and premium-format play that has kept it atop the box office. Its R-rated epic scope, combined with strong critical and audience reception, has produced legs that position it for easy passage of the $350 million threshold by August 31. Traders see the 98.4% implied probability on that outcome as reflecting the film’s established momentum and limited near-term competition. An upset below $350 million would require an unprecedented collapse in the final two weeks, something historical patterns for comparable Nolan titles and current tracking make highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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