Palantir's (PLTR) recent Q2 2026 earnings beat, with 93% year-over-year revenue growth and strong U.S. commercial momentum, fueled a post-August 3 rally that lifted shares toward the $174 area by mid-August. High valuation multiples near 68x sales, combined with profit-taking, notable insider sales, and bearish options activity from investors like Michael Burry, have introduced downside pressure and kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered. The $170-$172 bin holds a slim 50% market-implied edge amid broader tech sector volatility and analyst target revisions to $215, reflecting trader debate over whether AI demand sustains momentum or triggers further consolidation near current levels before the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$166-$168 50%
$168-$170 50%
$172-$174 49%
<$164 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<$164
49%
$164-$166
46%
$166-$168
50%
$168-$170
50%
$170-$172
48%
$172-$174
49%
$174-$176
46%
$176-$178
46%
$178-$180
47%
$180-$182
46%
>$182
48%
$166-$168 50%
$168-$170 50%
$172-$174 49%
<$164 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<$164
$0 Vol.
49%
$164-$166
$0 Vol.
46%
$166-$168
$0 Vol.
50%
$168-$170
$0 Vol.
50%
$170-$172
$0 Vol.
48%
$172-$174
$0 Vol.
49%
$174-$176
$0 Vol.
46%
$176-$178
$0 Vol.
46%
$178-$180
$0 Vol.
47%
$180-$182
$0 Vol.
46%
>$182
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.Palantir's (PLTR) recent Q2 2026 earnings beat, with 93% year-over-year revenue growth and strong U.S. commercial momentum, fueled a post-August 3 rally that lifted shares toward the $174 area by mid-August. High valuation multiples near 68x sales, combined with profit-taking, notable insider sales, and bearish options activity from investors like Michael Burry, have introduced downside pressure and kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered. The $170-$172 bin holds a slim 50% market-implied edge amid broader tech sector volatility and analyst target revisions to $215, reflecting trader debate over whether AI demand sustains momentum or triggers further consolidation near current levels before the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.Palantir's (PLTR) recent Q2 2026 earnings beat, with 93% year-over-year revenue growth and strong U.S. commercial momentum, fueled a post-August 3 rally that lifted shares toward the $174 area by mid-August. High valuation multiples near 68x sales, combined with profit-taking, notable insider sales, and bearish options activity from investors like Michael Burry, have introduced downside pressure and kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered. The $170-$172 bin holds a slim 50% market-implied edge amid broader tech sector volatility and analyst target revisions to $215, reflecting trader debate over whether AI demand sustains momentum or triggers further consolidation near current levels before the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir's (PLTR) recent Q2 2026 earnings beat, with 93% year-over-year revenue growth and strong U.S. commercial momentum, fueled a post-August 3 rally that lifted shares toward the $174 area by mid-August. High valuation multiples near 68x sales, combined with profit-taking, notable insider sales, and bearish options activity from investors like Michael Burry, have introduced downside pressure and kept week-ahead closing probabilities tightly clustered. The $170-$172 bin holds a slim 50% market-implied edge amid broader tech sector volatility and analyst target revisions to $215, reflecting trader debate over whether AI demand sustains momentum or triggers further consolidation near current levels before the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions