Mark Sutcliffe, the incumbent mayor seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, holds the strongest position due to name recognition and consistent polling leads, including 36% among decided voters in July Liaison Strategies surveys where Alex Lawson and Jeff Leiper trailed at 26% and 25%. Recent campaign activity has centered on infrastructure debates, such as a proposed ring road, with Lawson criticizing Sutcliffe's prior council vote and emphasizing development priorities while Leiper favors transit investments. Lawson's gains as a political newcomer and homebuilder have narrowed the gap with Leiper, whose support has declined, but the split in opposition votes reinforces Sutcliffe's edge. High undecided shares and voter dissatisfaction with city services remain key variables heading into nomination certification and the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 63%
Jeff Leiper 21%
Alex Lawson 15.0%
Catherine McKenney 2.1%
$62,501 Vol.
$62,501 Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
63%
Jeff Leiper
21%
Alex Lawson
15%
Catherine McKenney
2%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 63%
Jeff Leiper 21%
Alex Lawson 15.0%
Catherine McKenney 2.1%
$62,501 Vol.
$62,501 Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
63%
Jeff Leiper
21%
Alex Lawson
15%
Catherine McKenney
2%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Sutcliffe, the incumbent mayor seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, holds the strongest position due to name recognition and consistent polling leads, including 36% among decided voters in July Liaison Strategies surveys where Alex Lawson and Jeff Leiper trailed at 26% and 25%. Recent campaign activity has centered on infrastructure debates, such as a proposed ring road, with Lawson criticizing Sutcliffe's prior council vote and emphasizing development priorities while Leiper favors transit investments. Lawson's gains as a political newcomer and homebuilder have narrowed the gap with Leiper, whose support has declined, but the split in opposition votes reinforces Sutcliffe's edge. High undecided shares and voter dissatisfaction with city services remain key variables heading into nomination certification and the fall campaign.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions