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icon for NATURAL GAS Daily Up or Down

NATURAL GAS Daily Up or Down

icon for NATURAL GAS Daily Up or Down

NATURAL GAS Daily Up or Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") for the September 17, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the September 17, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") for the September 17, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the September 17, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.

For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours).

The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month.

Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry.

For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.

Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date.

If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected).

In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") for the September 17, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the September 17, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 17, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") for the September 17, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the September 17, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") for the September 17, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the September 17, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.

For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours).

The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month.

Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry.

For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.

Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date.

If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected).

In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") for the September 17, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the September 17, 2026 trading day is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future for the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session for the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption, the official close price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future will be used to determine the closing price for that day (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 17, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 8:01 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 17?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Natural Gas's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 50% for "Up." A price of 50% means the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Natural Gas price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 17?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 17?," decide whether you believe Natural Gas's price at noon ET on September 17 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Natural Gas's price at noon ET on September 17. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 17?" is 50% for "Up," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 50% chance that Natural Gas's price will finish up over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Natural Gas price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 17?" market resolves based on a comparison of Natural Gas's price at noon ET on September 17 versus noon ET on September 17, using Binance NG/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the September 17 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.