Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte’s bid for a second term anchors the market’s Republican tilt. Recent polls from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly seven to eight points among likely voters, consistent with Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating. New Hampshire’s primary calendar places the September 8 contests just weeks away, leaving limited runway for challengers to close the gap before the November general. The state’s recent history of Republican gubernatorial control and Ayotte’s established name recognition further reinforce trader assessments that a Democratic victory would require a substantial shift in voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,562 Vol.
$14,562 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
80%
Democrat
19%
$14,562 Vol.
$14,562 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,297 Vol.
80%
Democrat
$8,265 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte’s bid for a second term anchors the market’s Republican tilt. Recent polls from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly seven to eight points among likely voters, consistent with Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating. New Hampshire’s primary calendar places the September 8 contests just weeks away, leaving limited runway for challengers to close the gap before the November general. The state’s recent history of Republican gubernatorial control and Ayotte’s established name recognition further reinforce trader assessments that a Democratic victory would require a substantial shift in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$14,562End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte’s bid for a second term anchors the market’s Republican tilt. Recent polls from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly seven to eight points among likely voters, consistent with Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating. New Hampshire’s primary calendar places the September 8 contests just weeks away, leaving limited runway for challengers to close the gap before the November general. The state’s recent history of Republican gubernatorial control and Ayotte’s established name recognition further reinforce trader assessments that a Democratic victory would require a substantial shift in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,562End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte’s bid for a second term anchors the market’s Republican tilt. Recent polls from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire show her leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly seven to eight points among likely voters, consistent with Cook Political Report’s “Likely Republican” rating. New Hampshire’s primary calendar places the September 8 contests just weeks away, leaving limited runway for challengers to close the gap before the November general. The state’s recent history of Republican gubernatorial control and Ayotte’s established name recognition further reinforce trader assessments that a Democratic victory would require a substantial shift in voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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