Iowa State enters the 2026 season amid major transition after longtime head coach Matt Campbell departed for Penn State, leaving first-year head coach Jimmy Rogers to rebuild with an almost entirely new roster. Over 50 players departed via the transfer portal, resulting in zero returning starters and heavy reliance on incoming transfers such as quarterback Jaylen Raynor from Arkansas State along with additions at wide receiver and offensive line. The Big 12 schedule features several road contests against established conference programs, limiting margin for error in a league with limited nonconference tune-ups. Recent spring practice and portal activity have highlighted questions along the lines and in experience, shaping trader views around a modest win total near the 5-win mark as the program adjusts to new schemes and personnel.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.5+ Wins
90%
3.5+ Wins
76%
4.5+ Wins
36%
5.5+ Wins
30%
6.5+ Wins
27%
$21 Vol.
2.5+ Wins
90%
3.5+ Wins
76%
4.5+ Wins
36%
5.5+ Wins
30%
6.5+ Wins
27%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iowa State enters the 2026 season amid major transition after longtime head coach Matt Campbell departed for Penn State, leaving first-year head coach Jimmy Rogers to rebuild with an almost entirely new roster. Over 50 players departed via the transfer portal, resulting in zero returning starters and heavy reliance on incoming transfers such as quarterback Jaylen Raynor from Arkansas State along with additions at wide receiver and offensive line. The Big 12 schedule features several road contests against established conference programs, limiting margin for error in a league with limited nonconference tune-ups. Recent spring practice and portal activity have highlighted questions along the lines and in experience, shaping trader views around a modest win total near the 5-win mark as the program adjusts to new schemes and personnel.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions