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NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

icon for NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis
Sports·CFB

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

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Polymarket

$881 Vol.

Polymarket

Texas

$40 Vol.

54%

Penn St.

$0 Vol.

52%

North Carolina St.

$0 Vol.

50%

Oklahoma

$0 Vol.

50%

Oregon

$0 Vol.

50%

Texas A&M

$0 Vol.

50%

Ohio St.

$148 Vol.

47%

Indiana

$0 Vol.

47%

Notre Dame

$260 Vol.

39%

Georgia

$0 Vol.

36%

Alabama

$0 Vol.

19%

Texas Tech

$50 Vol.

32%

Miami (FL)

$0 Vol.

15%

USC

$0 Vol.

11%

Ole Miss

$0 Vol.

11%

BYU

$0 Vol.

9%

Florida

$0 Vol.

8%

Baylor

$50 Vol.

7%

Clemson

$0 Vol.

7%

LSU

$220 Vol.

7%

Michigan

$0 Vol.

7%

Tennessee

$0 Vol.

7%

Missouri

$0 Vol.

6%

SMU

$0 Vol.

6%

South Carolina

$0 Vol.

6%

Auburn

$0 Vol.

5%

Houston

$0 Vol.

5%

Arizona

$0 Vol.

4%

Georgia Tech

$0 Vol.

4%

Illinois

$0 Vol.

4%

Iowa

$0 Vol.

4%

James Madison

$20 Vol.

4%

Louisville

$0 Vol.

4%

TCU

$0 Vol.

4%

Utah

$0 Vol.

4%

Virginia

$0 Vol.

4%

Vanderbilt

$50 Vol.

4%

Washington

$0 Vol.

4%

Arizona St.

$0 Vol.

4%

Arkansas

$0 Vol.

3%

California

$0 Vol.

3%

Florida St.

$0 Vol.

3%

Kansas St.

$0 Vol.

3%

Miami (OH)

$43 Vol.

3%

Oklahoma St.

$0 Vol.

3%

Pittsburgh

$0 Vol.

3%

Tulane

$0 Vol.

3%

Kentucky

$0 Vol.

3%

North Texas

$0 Vol.

3%

Virginia Tech

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Preseason projections position Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, Georgia, and Texas as the clearest favorites to reach the College Football Playoff semifinals, driven by elite returning talent, strong recruiting classes, and experienced coaching staffs across the Big Ten and SEC. Notre Dame enters with added motivation after narrowly missing the 2025 field, while Indiana seeks to build on its recent national title amid a loaded conference schedule. Key variables include quarterback development, injury management, and non-conference results that shape strength-of-schedule metrics for at-large bids. Conference championship games and late-season surges by teams like Miami or Texas A&M could shift the 12-team bracket, with home-field advantages and head-to-head matchups in November proving decisive for semifinal qualification.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game.

If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$881
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Preseason projections position Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, Georgia, and Texas as the clearest favorites to reach the College Football Playoff semifinals, driven by elite returning talent, strong recruiting classes, and experienced coaching staffs across the Big Ten and SEC. Notre Dame enters with added motivation after narrowly missing the 2025 field, while Indiana seeks to build on its recent national title amid a loaded conference schedule. Key variables include quarterback development, injury management, and non-conference results that shape strength-of-schedule metrics for at-large bids. Conference championship games and late-season surges by teams like Miami or Texas A&M could shift the 12-team bracket, with home-field advantages and head-to-head matchups in November proving decisive for semifinal qualification.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game.

If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$881
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Texas" at 54%, followed by "Penn St." at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis" is "Texas" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Penn St." at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.