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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner

CJ Carr 9%

Arch Manning 9%

Julian Sayin 8%

Dante Moore 8%

NEW

CJ Carr 9%

Arch Manning 9%

Julian Sayin 8%

Dante Moore 8%

NEW

CJ Carr

$0 Vol.

9%

Arch Manning

$71 Vol.

9%

Julian Sayin

$552 Vol.

8%

Dante Moore

$33 Vol.

8%

Darian Mensah

$53 Vol.

7%

Trinidad Chambliss

$0 Vol.

7%

Jeremiah Smith

$0 Vol.

5%

Josh Hoover

$0 Vol.

4%

Marcel Reed

$0 Vol.

3%

Gunner Stockton

$0 Vol.

3%

Sam Leavitt

$0 Vol.

3%

Brendan Sorsby

$0 Vol.

3%

John Mateer

$0 Vol.

3%

Jayden Maiava

$0 Vol.

3%

Keelon Russell

$0 Vol.

3%

Malachi Toney

$0 Vol.

3%

Demond Williams Jr.

$0 Vol.

3%

LaNorris Sellers

$0 Vol.

3%

Rocco Becht

$0 Vol.

3%

Will Hammond

$0 Vol.

3%

Austin Mack

$0 Vol.

3%

Byrum Brown

$0 Vol.

3%

Bryce Underwood

$0 Vol.

3%

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

$0 Vol.

3%

Drew Mestemaker

$10 Vol.

1%

Kevin Jennings

$10 Vol.

1%

Ahmad Hardy

$10 Vol.

1%

Bo Jackson

$10 Vol.

1%

Kewan Lacy

$10 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Preseason 2026 Heisman futures remain tightly bunched because the campaign has not begun, leaving trader consensus driven by returning production, program strength, and supporting casts rather than on-field results. CJ Carr and Arch Manning sit at the front as co-leaders after Carr’s productive debut season directing Notre Dame and Manning’s decision to return for a second year as Texas starter amid added offensive talent. Julian Sayin, Dante Moore, Darian Mensah, and Trinidad Chambliss follow closely, backed by high-powered offenses at Ohio State, Oregon, Miami, and Ole Miss that figure to generate volume stats and playoff contention. Additional names such as Josh Hoover, Jeremiah Smith, and Gunner Stockton keep the field deep, reflecting the wisdom-of-crowds view that any of roughly a dozen quarterbacks and skill players could separate with strong early-season efficiency, touchdowns, and team wins. Injury updates, depth-chart changes, and opening-weekend performances will likely shift implied probabilities quickly once games begin.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$760
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Preseason 2026 Heisman futures remain tightly bunched because the campaign has not begun, leaving trader consensus driven by returning production, program strength, and supporting casts rather than on-field results. CJ Carr and Arch Manning sit at the front as co-leaders after Carr’s productive debut season directing Notre Dame and Manning’s decision to return for a second year as Texas starter amid added offensive talent. Julian Sayin, Dante Moore, Darian Mensah, and Trinidad Chambliss follow closely, backed by high-powered offenses at Ohio State, Oregon, Miami, and Ole Miss that figure to generate volume stats and playoff contention. Additional names such as Josh Hoover, Jeremiah Smith, and Gunner Stockton keep the field deep, reflecting the wisdom-of-crowds view that any of roughly a dozen quarterbacks and skill players could separate with strong early-season efficiency, touchdowns, and team wins. Injury updates, depth-chart changes, and opening-weekend performances will likely shift implied probabilities quickly once games begin.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026.

If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$760
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CJ Carr" at 9%, followed by "Arch Manning" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" is "CJ Carr" at just 9%, with "Arch Manning" close behind at 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.