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Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner
Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner

Michael McDowell 46.5%

Shane Van Gisbergen 44.5%

Connor Zilisch 44.5%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr 40.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael McDowell 46.5%

Shane Van Gisbergen 44.5%

Connor Zilisch 44.5%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr 40.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael McDowell

$0 Vol.

46%

Shane Van Gisbergen

$0 Vol.

45%

Connor Zilisch

$0 Vol.

45%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$0 Vol.

41%

Zane Smith

$0 Vol.

40%

Daniel Suarez

$0 Vol.

39%

Noah Gragson

$0 Vol.

39%

Todd Gilliland

$0 Vol.

39%

Cody Ware

$0 Vol.

38%

Josh Bilicki

$0 Vol.

38%

AJ Allmendinger

$0 Vol.

37%

Ty Dillon

$0 Vol.

34%

Denny Hamlin

$0 Vol.

19%

John Hunter Nemechek

$0 Vol.

13%

Ryan Blaney

$0 Vol.

12%

Christopher Bell

$0 Vol.

12%

Joey Logano

$0 Vol.

10%

Erik Jones

$0 Vol.

9%

Chase Elliott

$0 Vol.

9%

Ty Gibbs

$0 Vol.

8%

Darrell Wallace Jr

$0 Vol.

7%

Cole Custer

$0 Vol.

7%

Tyler Reddick

$0 Vol.

5%

Kyle Larson

$0 Vol.

5%

Chase Briscoe

$0 Vol.

5%

Austin Hill

$1,097 Vol.

4%

Carson Hocevar

$0 Vol.

4%

Austin Dillon

$1,024 Vol.

3%

Riley Herbst

$0 Vol.

3%

Ryan Preece

$0 Vol.

2%

William Byron

$0 Vol.

2%

Brad Keselowski

$0 Vol.

2%

Chris Buescher

$0 Vol.

2%

Ross Chastain

$0 Vol.

2%

Josh Berry

$0 Vol.

2%

Austin Cindric

$0 Vol.

2%

Alex Bowman

$0 Vol.

2%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400, scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Todd Gilliland leads trader consensus at 46.9% for the Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway due to his recent momentum, including a victory in the 2026 NASCAR In-Season Challenge bracket and consistent top-20 finishes across the summer stretch. Front Row Motorsports equipment has shown improved short-track speed, with Gilliland posting stage wins and advancing through elimination rounds against stronger teams. Denny Hamlin sits at 18.0% on the strength of his historical dominance at the 0.75-mile oval and Toyota’s recent form, while Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell at 12.5% each reflect playoff positioning and consistent top finishes. The field remains tightly bunched below 13%, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Richmond racing where recent practice speeds, qualifying, and track position often outweigh season-long averages.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400, scheduled for Aug 15, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$2,122
End Date
Aug 22, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400, scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400, scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Todd Gilliland leads trader consensus at 46.9% for the Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway due to his recent momentum, including a victory in the 2026 NASCAR In-Season Challenge bracket and consistent top-20 finishes across the summer stretch. Front Row Motorsports equipment has shown improved short-track speed, with Gilliland posting stage wins and advancing through elimination rounds against stronger teams. Denny Hamlin sits at 18.0% on the strength of his historical dominance at the 0.75-mile oval and Toyota’s recent form, while Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell at 12.5% each reflect playoff positioning and consistent top finishes. The field remains tightly bunched below 13%, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Richmond racing where recent practice speeds, qualifying, and track position often outweigh season-long averages.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400, scheduled for Aug 15, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$2,122
End Date
Aug 22, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400, scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael McDowell" at 46%, followed by "Shane Van Gisbergen" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner" is "Michael McDowell" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shane Van Gisbergen" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Cook Out 400 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.