The tightly bunched probabilities for MLS 2026 Defender of the Year reflect broad parity among center backs, with no single player separating himself through consistent dominance in tackles, interceptions, or clean-sheet contributions midway through the campaign. Daniel Munie’s recent MLS All-Star selection for San Jose has highlighted his ball-progression and aerial work, while Robert Voloder’s integration into New York Red Bulls’ back line and Rudy Camacho’s steady leadership in Houston keep those options clustered near the top. Jackson Ragen, Micael, and others benefit from strong team defensive records and favorable matchups, but midseason roster adjustments, varying fixture difficulty, and the potential for late surges in form maintain the race wide open. Trader consensus captures this even distribution across several clubs rather than anointing an early frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Long 49.1%
Robert Voloder 34%
Jakob Glesnes 32.6%
Mauricio Pineda 31.1%
$901,394 Vol.
$901,394 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Robert Voloder
34%
Jakob Glesnes
33%
Mauricio Pineda
31%
Joel Waterman
30%
Birk Risa
29%
Walker Zimmerman
29%
Brendan Hines-Ike
28%
Rodrigues
28%
Henry Kessler
28%
Andreas Maxsø
26%
Micael
25%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Tristan Blackmon
25%
Dany Rosero
5%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Sigurd Rosted
5%
Daniel Munie
4%
Miguel Tapias
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Robin Jansson
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Matt Miazga
4%
Jalen Neal
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Oleksandr Svatok
4%
Christopher McVey
2%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
David Brekalo
2%
Donovan Pines
2%
Andrew Privett
1%
Jack Elliott
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Yevhen Cheberko
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Dave Romney
25%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Marcelo Silva
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Miles Robinson
1%
Enea Mihaj
<1%
Noah Eile
24%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
11%
Carlos Terán
<1%
Jackson Ragen
32%
Zac McGraw
28%
Justen Glad
34%
Rudy Camacho
30%
Kamal Miller
35%
Jack Maher
32%
Nkosi Tafari
29%
Aaron Long 49.1%
Robert Voloder 34%
Jakob Glesnes 32.6%
Mauricio Pineda 31.1%
$901,394 Vol.
$901,394 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Robert Voloder
34%
Jakob Glesnes
33%
Mauricio Pineda
31%
Joel Waterman
30%
Birk Risa
29%
Walker Zimmerman
29%
Brendan Hines-Ike
28%
Rodrigues
28%
Henry Kessler
28%
Andreas Maxsø
26%
Micael
25%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Tristan Blackmon
25%
Dany Rosero
5%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Sigurd Rosted
5%
Daniel Munie
4%
Miguel Tapias
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Robin Jansson
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Matt Miazga
4%
Jalen Neal
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Oleksandr Svatok
4%
Christopher McVey
2%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
David Brekalo
2%
Donovan Pines
2%
Andrew Privett
1%
Jack Elliott
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Yevhen Cheberko
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Dave Romney
25%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Marcelo Silva
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Miles Robinson
1%
Enea Mihaj
<1%
Noah Eile
24%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
11%
Carlos Terán
<1%
Jackson Ragen
32%
Zac McGraw
28%
Justen Glad
34%
Rudy Camacho
30%
Kamal Miller
35%
Jack Maher
32%
Nkosi Tafari
29%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for MLS 2026 Defender of the Year reflect broad parity among center backs, with no single player separating himself through consistent dominance in tackles, interceptions, or clean-sheet contributions midway through the campaign. Daniel Munie’s recent MLS All-Star selection for San Jose has highlighted his ball-progression and aerial work, while Robert Voloder’s integration into New York Red Bulls’ back line and Rudy Camacho’s steady leadership in Houston keep those options clustered near the top. Jackson Ragen, Micael, and others benefit from strong team defensive records and favorable matchups, but midseason roster adjustments, varying fixture difficulty, and the potential for late surges in form maintain the race wide open. Trader consensus captures this even distribution across several clubs rather than anointing an early frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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