Several MLB teams remain tightly clustered in the race for the league lead in home runs, as shown by the market's bunched probabilities near 50% for the top contenders. Strong power production from lineups featuring prolific sluggers, combined with favorable home park factors and consistent output from corner infielders and designated hitters, has kept multiple clubs within range through the season's midpoint. Recent hot streaks, injury returns, and balanced scheduling have prevented any single franchise from establishing a clear edge, sustaining the competitive dynamics. Variables like opposing pitching staffs and series-specific matchups continue to influence daily totals without creating separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew York Yankees 47%
Washington Nationals 36%
Tampa Bay Rays 8.0%
Milwaukee Brewers 7.6%
$589,686 Vol.
$589,686 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
New York Yankees
47%
Washington Nationals
36%
Tampa Bay Rays
8%
Milwaukee Brewers
8%
Houston Astros
7%
Pittsburgh Pirates
5%
Minnesota Twins
5%
Atlanta Braves
4%
Chicago White Sox
3%
Cleveland Guardians
3%
Cincinnati Reds
2%
Los Angeles Dodgers
6%
Los Angeles Angels
2%
Chicago Cubs
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Athletics
1%
Seattle Mariners
1%
Texas Rangers
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
San Diego Padres
<1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Boston Red Sox
<1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
Detroit Tigers
<1%
Baltimore Orioles
16%
New York Mets
12%
San Francisco Giants
16%
Colorado Rockies
35%
New York Yankees 47%
Washington Nationals 36%
Tampa Bay Rays 8.0%
Milwaukee Brewers 7.6%
$589,686 Vol.
$589,686 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
New York Yankees
$665 Vol.
47%
Washington Nationals
$2,486 Vol.
36%
Tampa Bay Rays
$32,679 Vol.
8%
Milwaukee Brewers
$318 Vol.
8%
Houston Astros
$947 Vol.
7%
Pittsburgh Pirates
$703 Vol.
5%
Minnesota Twins
$204 Vol.
5%
Atlanta Braves
$1,664 Vol.
4%
Chicago White Sox
$2,619 Vol.
3%
Cleveland Guardians
$63,971 Vol.
3%
Cincinnati Reds
$298 Vol.
2%
Los Angeles Dodgers
$569 Vol.
6%
Los Angeles Angels
$1,804 Vol.
2%
Chicago Cubs
$296 Vol.
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
$2,355 Vol.
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
$94,311 Vol.
1%
Athletics
$582 Vol.
1%
Seattle Mariners
$641 Vol.
1%
Texas Rangers
$94,873 Vol.
<1%
Kansas City Royals
$683 Vol.
<1%
San Diego Padres
$656 Vol.
<1%
Arizona Diamondbacks
$641 Vol.
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
$656 Vol.
<1%
Boston Red Sox
$156,561 Vol.
<1%
Miami Marlins
$64,119 Vol.
<1%
Detroit Tigers
$63,575 Vol.
<1%
Baltimore Orioles
$192 Vol.
16%
New York Mets
$214 Vol.
12%
San Francisco Giants
$211 Vol.
16%
Colorado Rockies
$191 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several MLB teams remain tightly clustered in the race for the league lead in home runs, as shown by the market's bunched probabilities near 50% for the top contenders. Strong power production from lineups featuring prolific sluggers, combined with favorable home park factors and consistent output from corner infielders and designated hitters, has kept multiple clubs within range through the season's midpoint. Recent hot streaks, injury returns, and balanced scheduling have prevented any single franchise from establishing a clear edge, sustaining the competitive dynamics. Variables like opposing pitching staffs and series-specific matchups continue to influence daily totals without creating separation.
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$589,686End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several MLB teams remain tightly clustered in the race for the league lead in home runs, as shown by the market's bunched probabilities near 50% for the top contenders. Strong power production from lineups featuring prolific sluggers, combined with favorable home park factors and consistent output from corner infielders and designated hitters, has kept multiple clubs within range through the season's midpoint. Recent hot streaks, injury returns, and balanced scheduling have prevented any single franchise from establishing a clear edge, sustaining the competitive dynamics. Variables like opposing pitching staffs and series-specific matchups continue to influence daily totals without creating separation.
This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$589,686End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several MLB teams remain tightly clustered in the race for the league lead in home runs, as shown by the market's bunched probabilities near 50% for the top contenders. Strong power production from lineups featuring prolific sluggers, combined with favorable home park factors and consistent output from corner infielders and designated hitters, has kept multiple clubs within range through the season's midpoint. Recent hot streaks, injury returns, and balanced scheduling have prevented any single franchise from establishing a clear edge, sustaining the competitive dynamics. Variables like opposing pitching staffs and series-specific matchups continue to influence daily totals without creating separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions