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Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

New York Mets 39.6%

Cincinnati Reds 34.7%

Arizona Diamondbacks 19.8%

Houston Astros 18%

Polymarket

$1,284,428 Vol.

New York Mets 39.6%

Cincinnati Reds 34.7%

Arizona Diamondbacks 19.8%

Houston Astros 18%

Polymarket

$1,284,428 Vol.

New York Mets

$464,870 Vol.

23%

Cincinnati Reds

$847 Vol.

35%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$851 Vol.

20%

Houston Astros

$238 Vol.

18%

Detroit Tigers

$152,305 Vol.

6%

Athletics

$955 Vol.

4%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$2,716 Vol.

4%

Tampa Bay Rays

$880 Vol.

3%

New York Yankees

$1,192 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rockies

$958 Vol.

1%

Chicago Cubs

$994 Vol.

1%

Seattle Mariners

$374 Vol.

<1%

Baltimore Orioles

$375 Vol.

19%

Kansas City Royals

$680 Vol.

25%

San Diego Padres

$300 Vol.

<1%

Chicago White Sox

$361 Vol.

18%

Los Angeles Angels

$448 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$473 Vol.

<1%

Boston Red Sox

$407 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta Braves

$458 Vol.

17%

Milwaukee Brewers

$394 Vol.

24%

Minnesota Twins

$518 Vol.

<1%

San Francisco Giants

$384 Vol.

<1%

Texas Rangers

$1,165 Vol.

<1%

Washington Nationals

$321 Vol.

20%

Cleveland Guardians

$417 Vol.

22%

Toronto Blue Jays

$277 Vol.

25%

Miami Marlins

$93,029 Vol.

27%

Philadelphia Phillies

$556,980 Vol.

29%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$259 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cincinnati Reds lead MLB's 2026 ABS challenge success rates at roughly 63% overall, driven primarily by elite catcher performance (70.7%) that exceeds league norms where backstops average near 58-64% overturns versus lower rates for batters. Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, and Miami Marlins sit close behind in the 56-60% range, reflecting strong positional contributions and selective challenge usage that keep team totals competitive. Recent midseason data from sources like Baseball Savant and ESPN show narrow gaps among a half-dozen clubs, with success hinging on catcher framing instincts, pitch-tracking accuracy, and limited remaining challenges per game. This clustering sustains trader consensus around 25-35% implied probabilities for the top group, as small sample fluctuations or injury-related roster tweaks could shift standings before season's end.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,284,428
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cincinnati Reds lead MLB's 2026 ABS challenge success rates at roughly 63% overall, driven primarily by elite catcher performance (70.7%) that exceeds league norms where backstops average near 58-64% overturns versus lower rates for batters. Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, and Miami Marlins sit close behind in the 56-60% range, reflecting strong positional contributions and selective challenge usage that keep team totals competitive. Recent midseason data from sources like Baseball Savant and ESPN show narrow gaps among a half-dozen clubs, with success hinging on catcher framing instincts, pitch-tracking accuracy, and limited remaining challenges per game. This clustering sustains trader consensus around 25-35% implied probabilities for the top group, as small sample fluctuations or injury-related roster tweaks could shift standings before season's end.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,284,428
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cincinnati Reds" at 35%, followed by "Philadelphia Phillies" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is "Cincinnati Reds" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Philadelphia Phillies" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.