**Soto holds a commanding 63-to-42 edge in walks through mid-August despite Judge’s higher per-game rate, driven primarily by Soto’s 84 games played versus Judge’s 59.** Judge has missed nearly three months with a right rib stress fracture, was recently cleared only for light rehab, and faces an uncertain return that could leave him with few or no additional plate appearances. Soto, sidelined since late July with a Grade 2 left calf strain, is expected back in September and will accumulate substantial extra opportunities even if both players finish the season. Historical tendencies reinforce the gap: Soto’s patient approach consistently produces elite walk totals, while Judge’s injury timeline sharply limits his remaining volume. The 98% trader consensus reflects this combination of current lead and projected playing-time disparity. Realistic shifts remain possible only if Judge returns for an extended September stretch while Soto misses significant time or posts an atypically low walk rate, though both outcomes appear improbable given medical timelines and established profiles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Judge
2% chance
$30,064 Vol.
$30,064 Vol.
Sep 28, 2026
Judge
2% chance
$30,064 Vol.
$30,064 Vol.
Sep 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Soto holds a commanding 63-to-42 edge in walks through mid-August despite Judge’s higher per-game rate, driven primarily by Soto’s 84 games played versus Judge’s 59.** Judge has missed nearly three months with a right rib stress fracture, was recently cleared only for light rehab, and faces an uncertain return that could leave him with few or no additional plate appearances. Soto, sidelined since late July with a Grade 2 left calf strain, is expected back in September and will accumulate substantial extra opportunities even if both players finish the season. Historical tendencies reinforce the gap: Soto’s patient approach consistently produces elite walk totals, while Judge’s injury timeline sharply limits his remaining volume. The 98% trader consensus reflects this combination of current lead and projected playing-time disparity.
Realistic shifts remain possible only if Judge returns for an extended September stretch while Soto misses significant time or posts an atypically low walk rate, though both outcomes appear improbable given medical timelines and established profiles.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volume
$30,064End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Soto holds a commanding 63-to-42 edge in walks through mid-August despite Judge’s higher per-game rate, driven primarily by Soto’s 84 games played versus Judge’s 59.** Judge has missed nearly three months with a right rib stress fracture, was recently cleared only for light rehab, and faces an uncertain return that could leave him with few or no additional plate appearances. Soto, sidelined since late July with a Grade 2 left calf strain, is expected back in September and will accumulate substantial extra opportunities even if both players finish the season. Historical tendencies reinforce the gap: Soto’s patient approach consistently produces elite walk totals, while Judge’s injury timeline sharply limits his remaining volume. The 98% trader consensus reflects this combination of current lead and projected playing-time disparity.
Realistic shifts remain possible only if Judge returns for an extended September stretch while Soto misses significant time or posts an atypically low walk rate, though both outcomes appear improbable given medical timelines and established profiles.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,064End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Soto holds a commanding 63-to-42 edge in walks through mid-August despite Judge’s higher per-game rate, driven primarily by Soto’s 84 games played versus Judge’s 59.** Judge has missed nearly three months with a right rib stress fracture, was recently cleared only for light rehab, and faces an uncertain return that could leave him with few or no additional plate appearances. Soto, sidelined since late July with a Grade 2 left calf strain, is expected back in September and will accumulate substantial extra opportunities even if both players finish the season. Historical tendencies reinforce the gap: Soto’s patient approach consistently produces elite walk totals, while Judge’s injury timeline sharply limits his remaining volume. The 98% trader consensus reflects this combination of current lead and projected playing-time disparity. Realistic shifts remain possible only if Judge returns for an extended September stretch while Soto misses significant time or posts an atypically low walk rate, though both outcomes appear improbable given medical timelines and established profiles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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