The Los Angeles Dodgers hold the strongest implied probability for the 2026 National League pennant at 39.5 percent, driven by their 87-57 record, 10.5-game NL West lead, elite run differential, and recent five-game winning streak featuring contributions from stars like Shohei Ohtani upon his return. The Milwaukee Brewers sit at 22.6 percent on the strength of baseball’s best mark at 89-56 and a dominant +169 run differential, though they face a tougher path through the wild-card round. The Atlanta Braves (13.5 percent) and Philadelphia Phillies (11.5 percent) benefit from solid NL East positioning, while the Chicago Cubs (10 percent) draw support from strong underlying metrics despite trailing in their division. Recent late-season form and playoff seeding projections underpin the current trader consensus, with the top five teams accounting for nearly all meaningful probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 National League Champion
MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Los Angeles Dodgers 40%
Milwaukee Brewers 22.4%
Atlanta Braves 14%
Philadelphia Phillies 12%
$3,892,180 Vol.
$3,892,180 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
40%
Milwaukee Brewers
22%
Atlanta Braves
14%
Philadelphia Phillies
12%
Chicago Cubs
10%
San Diego Padres
4%
Arizona Diamondbacks
2%
Pittsburgh Pirates
<1%
New York Mets
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
Cincinnati Reds
<1%
San Francisco Giants
<1%
Los Angeles Dodgers 40%
Milwaukee Brewers 22.4%
Atlanta Braves 14%
Philadelphia Phillies 12%
$3,892,180 Vol.
$3,892,180 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
40%
Milwaukee Brewers
22%
Atlanta Braves
14%
Philadelphia Phillies
12%
Chicago Cubs
10%
San Diego Padres
4%
Arizona Diamondbacks
2%
Pittsburgh Pirates
<1%
New York Mets
<1%
St. Louis Cardinals
<1%
Miami Marlins
<1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
Cincinnati Reds
<1%
San Francisco Giants
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Los Angeles Dodgers hold the strongest implied probability for the 2026 National League pennant at 39.5 percent, driven by their 87-57 record, 10.5-game NL West lead, elite run differential, and recent five-game winning streak featuring contributions from stars like Shohei Ohtani upon his return. The Milwaukee Brewers sit at 22.6 percent on the strength of baseball’s best mark at 89-56 and a dominant +169 run differential, though they face a tougher path through the wild-card round. The Atlanta Braves (13.5 percent) and Philadelphia Phillies (11.5 percent) benefit from solid NL East positioning, while the Chicago Cubs (10 percent) draw support from strong underlying metrics despite trailing in their division. Recent late-season form and playoff seeding projections underpin the current trader consensus, with the top five teams accounting for nearly all meaningful probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions