The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly bunched in trader pricing because the AL East features three contenders separated by under 10 games, with the Rays at 74-46 atop the division after a recent nine-game win streak. The Yankees sit at 68-53 despite key absences including Aaron Judge’s prolonged rib injury and roster depth losses, while the Red Sox have climbed to 65-56 following an early managerial change and deadline acquisitions that bolstered their core. Competitive AL Central and West standings, led by the White Sox and Astros near .500, add parity. These factors sustain close implied probabilities across the top clubs heading into the stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 American League Champion
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
New York Yankees 25%
Tampa Bay Rays 21.3%
Boston Red Sox 14.5%
Houston Astros 9.6%
$4,202,758 Vol.
$4,202,758 Vol.
Nov 1, 2026
New York Yankees
25%
Tampa Bay Rays
21%
Boston Red Sox
15%
Houston Astros
10%
Chicago White Sox
7%
Texas Rangers
7%
Detroit Tigers
7%
Seattle Mariners
5%
Cleveland Guardians
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
3%
Minnesota Twins
2%
Baltimore Orioles
1%
Athletics
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
New York Yankees 25%
Tampa Bay Rays 21.3%
Boston Red Sox 14.5%
Houston Astros 9.6%
$4,202,758 Vol.
$4,202,758 Vol.
Nov 1, 2026
New York Yankees
$52,615 Vol.
25%
Tampa Bay Rays
$394,291 Vol.
21%
Boston Red Sox
$51,880 Vol.
15%
Houston Astros
$779,275 Vol.
10%
Chicago White Sox
$247,427 Vol.
7%
Texas Rangers
$25,976 Vol.
7%
Detroit Tigers
$114,403 Vol.
7%
Seattle Mariners
$31,140 Vol.
5%
Cleveland Guardians
$733,220 Vol.
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
$148,168 Vol.
3%
Minnesota Twins
$251,352 Vol.
2%
Baltimore Orioles
$64,669 Vol.
1%
Athletics
$153,406 Vol.
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
$306,773 Vol.
<1%
Kansas City Royals
$848,162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly bunched in trader pricing because the AL East features three contenders separated by under 10 games, with the Rays at 74-46 atop the division after a recent nine-game win streak. The Yankees sit at 68-53 despite key absences including Aaron Judge’s prolonged rib injury and roster depth losses, while the Red Sox have climbed to 65-56 following an early managerial change and deadline acquisitions that bolstered their core. Competitive AL Central and West standings, led by the White Sox and Astros near .500, add parity. These factors sustain close implied probabilities across the top clubs heading into the stretch.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,202,758End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly bunched in trader pricing because the AL East features three contenders separated by under 10 games, with the Rays at 74-46 atop the division after a recent nine-game win streak. The Yankees sit at 68-53 despite key absences including Aaron Judge’s prolonged rib injury and roster depth losses, while the Red Sox have climbed to 65-56 following an early managerial change and deadline acquisitions that bolstered their core. Competitive AL Central and West standings, led by the White Sox and Astros near .500, add parity. These factors sustain close implied probabilities across the top clubs heading into the stretch.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,202,758End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly bunched in trader pricing because the AL East features three contenders separated by under 10 games, with the Rays at 74-46 atop the division after a recent nine-game win streak. The Yankees sit at 68-53 despite key absences including Aaron Judge’s prolonged rib injury and roster depth losses, while the Red Sox have climbed to 65-56 following an early managerial change and deadline acquisitions that bolstered their core. Competitive AL Central and West standings, led by the White Sox and Astros near .500, add parity. These factors sustain close implied probabilities across the top clubs heading into the stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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