Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?
Sports·Soccer

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

icon for Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?
Sports·Soccer

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Oct 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

50%

Dec 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

51%

Feb 28, 2027

$0 Vol.

50%

Apr 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

51%

Jun 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael Carrick was appointed Manchester United’s permanent head coach in May 2026 on a contract until 2028 after replacing Ruben Amorim as interim in January and guiding the side to third place with Champions League qualification, posting 11 wins in 16 games that included victories over Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Chelsea. His permanent role followed a strong turnaround that restored squad morale and aligned with the club’s values under director of football Jason Wilcox. Entering the 2026/27 season, United return to the Champions League with elevated expectations from supporters and owners, while early-season pressure is already evident and historical post-Ferguson managerial instability remains a factor. Recent injury updates and squad availability will shape results in the opening Premier League and European fixtures, directly influencing any timeline for a change in the dugout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.

The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.

If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michael Carrick was appointed Manchester United’s permanent head coach in May 2026 on a contract until 2028 after replacing Ruben Amorim as interim in January and guiding the side to third place with Champions League qualification, posting 11 wins in 16 games that included victories over Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Chelsea. His permanent role followed a strong turnaround that restored squad morale and aligned with the club’s values under director of football Jason Wilcox. Entering the 2026/27 season, United return to the Champions League with elevated expectations from supporters and owners, while early-season pressure is already evident and historical post-Ferguson managerial instability remains a factor. Recent injury updates and squad availability will shape results in the opening Premier League and European fixtures, directly influencing any timeline for a change in the dugout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.

The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.

If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Unai Emery be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?

Will Unai Emery be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?

50%
icon for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

12%
icon for Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Bayern Munich?

Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Bayern Munich?

50%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jun 30, 2027" at 53%, followed by "Dec 31, 2026" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" is "Jun 30, 2027" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dec 31, 2026" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.