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Sports·F1

Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

icon for Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner
Sports·F1

Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

Kimi Antonelli 32%

Lando Norris 21%

Lewis Hamilton 15%

Charles Leclerc 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli 32%

Lando Norris 21%

Lewis Hamilton 15%

Charles Leclerc 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli

$52 Vol.

32%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

21%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

15%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

13%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

9%

Max Verstappen

$43 Vol.

8%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

6%

Oliver Bearman

$0 Vol.

1%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

1%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

1%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

1%

Lance Stroll

$0 Vol.

1%

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

1%

Fernando Alonso

$0 Vol.

1%

Alexander Albon

$0 Vol.

1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$0 Vol.

1%

Sergio Perez

$0 Vol.

1%

Esteban Ocon

$0 Vol.

1%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$0 Vol.

1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

1%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus for Dutch Grand Prix sprint qualifying pole at 30% implied probability, driven by his commanding 2026 championship position and consistent front-running form with Mercedes across the season. The Italian has secured multiple victories and podiums, establishing clear momentum heading into the Zandvoort sprint weekend. Lando Norris at 20.5% and Lewis Hamilton at 15% reflect McLaren and Ferrari competitiveness on the high-downforce banking layout, while Charles Leclerc at 13% and George Russell at 8.5% factor in recent team strengths and qualifying pace. Max Verstappen trails further back at 8%, consistent with his lower championship standing. The sprint qualifying format—SQ1 through SQ3 on Friday—amplifies the value of one-lap speed in FP1 conditions and track-specific setups at this demanding circuit.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$95
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 11:35 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus for Dutch Grand Prix sprint qualifying pole at 30% implied probability, driven by his commanding 2026 championship position and consistent front-running form with Mercedes across the season. The Italian has secured multiple victories and podiums, establishing clear momentum heading into the Zandvoort sprint weekend. Lando Norris at 20.5% and Lewis Hamilton at 15% reflect McLaren and Ferrari competitiveness on the high-downforce banking layout, while Charles Leclerc at 13% and George Russell at 8.5% factor in recent team strengths and qualifying pace. Max Verstappen trails further back at 8%, consistent with his lower championship standing. The sprint qualifying format—SQ1 through SQ3 on Friday—amplifies the value of one-lap speed in FP1 conditions and track-specific setups at this demanding circuit.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$95
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 11:35 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%, followed by "Lando Norris" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lando Norris" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.