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Sports·CFB

Texas State vs. Texas

icon for Texas State vs. Texas
Sports·CFB

Texas State vs. Texas

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

NEW
Sep 5, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Texas State vs. Texas

$0 Vol.

50%

Spread: Texas (-30.5)

$0 Vol.

50%

O/U 60.5

$0 Vol.

50%

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game by 31 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Texas State and Texas combine to score 61 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 61, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.Texas opens its 2026 season against Texas State on September 5 at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, a matchup defined by a steep talent and depth gap. The Longhorns, ranked No. 5/4 entering camp, feature quarterback Arch Manning and multiple projected early-round NFL prospects on both sides of the ball under Steve Sarkisian, who enters year six with three straight 10-win seasons. Texas State, led by quarterback Brad Jackson, travels roughly 30 miles up I-35 for its first game against Power conference competition since a 1930 loss; the Bobcats enter with an 8-4 projected record in a new conference alignment and limited prior exposure to this level of defensive speed and physicality. Recent camp reports note Texas managing minor flu-related absences and one guard injury without major long-term impact, preserving roster health for the opener. Home-field advantage, superior offensive line play, and special-teams execution figure to widen the margin, though late scratches or weather could influence total scoring.

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET:
If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State".
If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ncaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game by 31 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Texas State and Texas combine to score 61 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 61, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.Texas opens its 2026 season against Texas State on September 5 at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, a matchup defined by a steep talent and depth gap. The Longhorns, ranked No. 5/4 entering camp, feature quarterback Arch Manning and multiple projected early-round NFL prospects on both sides of the ball under Steve Sarkisian, who enters year six with three straight 10-win seasons. Texas State, led by quarterback Brad Jackson, travels roughly 30 miles up I-35 for its first game against Power conference competition since a 1930 loss; the Bobcats enter with an 8-4 projected record in a new conference alignment and limited prior exposure to this level of defensive speed and physicality. Recent camp reports note Texas managing minor flu-related absences and one guard injury without major long-term impact, preserving roster health for the opener. Home-field advantage, superior offensive line play, and special-teams execution figure to widen the margin, though late scratches or weather could influence total scoring.

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET:
If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State".
If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ncaa.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Texas State vs. Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Texas State vs. Texas" at 50%, followed by "Spread: Texas (-30.5)" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Texas State vs. Texas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Texas State vs. Texas," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Texas State vs. Texas" is "Texas State vs. Texas" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Spread: Texas (-30.5)" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Texas State vs. Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.