Hawthorn’s commanding 76% implied probability reflects their stronger 2026 campaign overall, sitting fourth on the ladder with a 15-6-2 record and proven scoring efficiency plus defensive structure under Sam Mitchell. The Hawks have shown bookend balance and stoppage strength in recent outings, including heavy wins over West Coast and Essendon, even as inconsistencies have surfaced against top opposition. Port Adelaide, by contrast, enters with a heavily depleted list after a season marred by injuries to key contributors such as Jackson Horne-Francis, Esava Ratugolea, Jack Lukosius, and others, alongside a poor win-loss record and limited recent momentum. These roster and form differentials underpin trader consensus favoring the Hawks in any direct matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPort Adelaide Power
Port Adelaide Power
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afl.com.au/aflwResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution Source
https://www.afl.com.au/aflwResolver
0x65070BE91...Hawthorn’s commanding 76% implied probability reflects their stronger 2026 campaign overall, sitting fourth on the ladder with a 15-6-2 record and proven scoring efficiency plus defensive structure under Sam Mitchell. The Hawks have shown bookend balance and stoppage strength in recent outings, including heavy wins over West Coast and Essendon, even as inconsistencies have surfaced against top opposition. Port Adelaide, by contrast, enters with a heavily depleted list after a season marred by injuries to key contributors such as Jackson Horne-Francis, Esava Ratugolea, Jack Lukosius, and others, alongside a poor win-loss record and limited recent momentum. These roster and form differentials underpin trader consensus favoring the Hawks in any direct matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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