Recent Apple earnings and the September 9 product event, featuring the iPhone 18 series and first foldable iPhone Duo, underpin trader sentiment with fiscal Q3 revenue rising 16.4% to $109.4 billion and EPS up 29%. Shares closed September 14 near $333 amid analyst target lifts to $360–370 on early iPhone 18 demand signals, placing the stock within 3% of its $344.57 52-week high. With the week’s close probabilities tightly clustered between the $325–330 and $330–335 buckets, positioning reflects balanced views on near-term volatility ahead of the September 16–17 FOMC decision, tempered by strong hardware momentum and elevated valuations near 38 times trailing earnings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$325-$330 24%
$330-$335 23%
$335-$340 14%
$320-$325 14%
<$310
4%
$310-$315
3%
$315-$320
6%
$320-$325
14%
$325-$330
24%
$330-$335
23%
$335-$340
14%
$340-$345
8%
$345-$350
3%
$350-$355
2%
>$355
4%
$325-$330 24%
$330-$335 23%
$335-$340 14%
$320-$325 14%
<$310
4%
$310-$315
3%
$315-$320
6%
$320-$325
14%
$325-$330
24%
$330-$335
23%
$335-$340
14%
$340-$345
8%
$345-$350
3%
$350-$355
2%
>$355
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Apple earnings and the September 9 product event, featuring the iPhone 18 series and first foldable iPhone Duo, underpin trader sentiment with fiscal Q3 revenue rising 16.4% to $109.4 billion and EPS up 29%. Shares closed September 14 near $333 amid analyst target lifts to $360–370 on early iPhone 18 demand signals, placing the stock within 3% of its $344.57 52-week high. With the week’s close probabilities tightly clustered between the $325–330 and $330–335 buckets, positioning reflects balanced views on near-term volatility ahead of the September 16–17 FOMC decision, tempered by strong hardware momentum and elevated valuations near 38 times trailing earnings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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