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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Iga Swiatek 14%

Elena Rybakina 9.7%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Polymarket

$6,670,166 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Iga Swiatek 14%

Elena Rybakina 9.7%

Coco Gauff 8.8%

Polymarket

$6,670,166 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$61,263 Vol.

26%

Iga Swiatek

$43,513 Vol.

14%

Elena Rybakina

$109,510 Vol.

10%

Coco Gauff

$42,406 Vol.

9%

Naomi Osaka

$34,452 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$42,788 Vol.

6%

Jessica Pegula

$113,998 Vol.

4%

Alexandra Eala

$303,173 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$32,897 Vol.

3%

Amanda Anisimova

$70,144 Vol.

3%

Elina Svitolina

$33,222 Vol.

2%

Karolina Muchova

$46,325 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$29,287 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$66,884 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$56,787 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$551,886 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$56,137 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$52,614 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$49,131 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$40,066 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$30,209 Vol.

1%

Marie Bouzkova

$50,493 Vol.

<1%

Qinwen Zheng

$265,136 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Valentova

$565,595 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$146,422 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$25,390 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$448,082 Vol.

<1%

Paula Badosa

$32,717 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$29,226 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$76,322 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$45,120 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$28,364 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,036,195 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$35,201 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$193,525 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$41,542 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$17,652 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,665,603 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$41,391 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the clear market leader at 25.5% implied probability, buoyed by her status as two-time defending US Open champion, World No. 1 ranking, and three 2026 titles including the hard-court Sunshine Double in Indian Wells and Miami. Her consistent power game and recent deep runs on the surface underpin trader confidence heading into the final Grand Slam. Elena Rybakina’s Australian Open victory and No. 2 ranking provide a strong counter, while Iga Swiatek’s first title of the season in Toronto signals a potential resurgence after earlier struggles. Coco Gauff and Naomi Osaka add depth with major pedigree, but the field remains wide open due to variable recent form, injuries, and limited hard-court dominance among contenders.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,670,166
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the clear market leader at 25.5% implied probability, buoyed by her status as two-time defending US Open champion, World No. 1 ranking, and three 2026 titles including the hard-court Sunshine Double in Indian Wells and Miami. Her consistent power game and recent deep runs on the surface underpin trader confidence heading into the final Grand Slam. Elena Rybakina’s Australian Open victory and No. 2 ranking provide a strong counter, while Iga Swiatek’s first title of the season in Toronto signals a potential resurgence after earlier struggles. Coco Gauff and Naomi Osaka add depth with major pedigree, but the field remains wide open due to variable recent form, injuries, and limited hard-court dominance among contenders.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,670,166
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, followed by "Iga Swiatek" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.