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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 52%

Alexander Zverev 13.4%

Carlos Alcaraz 12%

Novak Djokovic 6.3%

Polymarket

$6,383,292 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 52%

Alexander Zverev 13.4%

Carlos Alcaraz 12%

Novak Djokovic 6.3%

Polymarket

$6,383,292 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$232,685 Vol.

52%

Alexander Zverev

$187,486 Vol.

13%

Carlos Alcaraz

$314,566 Vol.

12%

Novak Djokovic

$325,668 Vol.

6%

Ben Shelton

$226,763 Vol.

4%

Taylor Fritz

$217,555 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$207,929 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$254,832 Vol.

2%

Arthur Fils

$217,532 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$613,000 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$245,662 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$190,913 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$249,439 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$318,446 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$136,742 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$172,885 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$248,711 Vol.

<1%

Jiri Lehecka

$432,860 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$413,535 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$263,972 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$757,361 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$154,750 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the strongest trader consensus for the 2026 US Open title at 51.5% implied probability, driven by his recent Wimbledon triumph for a fifth major and consistent hard-court excellence as the top-ranked player. Alexander Zverev sits at 13.4% after capturing his first Slam at Roland Garros in June and showing strong recent form on faster surfaces. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion, is priced at 12.0% amid ongoing wrist injury concerns that have kept him sidelined since April, limiting hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic at 6.3% benefits from deep runs at the Australian Open and Wimbledon but faces age-related questions in a physically demanding draw. Recent withdrawals and limited pre-tournament hard-court matches for the top contenders have amplified uncertainty around fitness and match readiness heading into the late-August start.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,383,292
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner holds the strongest trader consensus for the 2026 US Open title at 51.5% implied probability, driven by his recent Wimbledon triumph for a fifth major and consistent hard-court excellence as the top-ranked player. Alexander Zverev sits at 13.4% after capturing his first Slam at Roland Garros in June and showing strong recent form on faster surfaces. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion, is priced at 12.0% amid ongoing wrist injury concerns that have kept him sidelined since April, limiting hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic at 6.3% benefits from deep runs at the Australian Open and Wimbledon but faces age-related questions in a physically demanding draw. Recent withdrawals and limited pre-tournament hard-court matches for the top contenders have amplified uncertainty around fitness and match readiness heading into the late-August start.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,383,292
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 52%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.