Scottie Scheffler's commanding position atop the FedEx St. Jude Championship leaderboard after two rounds at TPC Southwind drives his 64% implied probability as third-round leader. The world No. 1 opened with a 2-under 68 before firing a course-record 9-under 61 in round two to reach 11 under par and establish a three-shot advantage. This recent surge, combined with his consistent ball-striking and strong historical results at the venue, positions him well ahead of the pack entering Saturday's round. A large group of contenders sits several strokes back, creating a more competitive chase for second place where recent form, course management, and weekend scoring trends will determine who closes the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAldrich Potgieter 50%
Kristoffer Reitan 50%
Patrick Rodgers 50%
Justin Rose 50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Sam Stevens
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Harry Hall
50%
Aaron Rai
25%
Xander Schauffele
25%
Alex Smalley
25%
Jordan L. Smith
25%
J.J. Spaun
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Sahith Theegala
25%
Justin Thomas
25%
Gary Woodland
25%
Ludvig Aberg
25%
Patrick Cantlay
25%
Bud Cauley
25%
Eric Cole
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
25%
Harris English
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Michael Kim
25%
Si Woo Kim
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Jake Knapp
25%
Jackson Koivun
25%
Min Woo Lee
25%
Shane Lowry
25%
Maverick McNealy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
Alex Fitzpatrick
25%
Ryan Gerard
25%
Chris Gotterup
25%
Ben Griffin
25%
Brian Harman
25%
Russell Henley
25%
Ryo Hisatsune
25%
Nicolai Hojgaard
25%
Max Homa
25%
Sam Burns
25%
Pierceson Coody
25%
JT Poston
25%
Scottie Scheffler
64%
Aldrich Potgieter 50%
Kristoffer Reitan 50%
Patrick Rodgers 50%
Justin Rose 50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Sam Stevens
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Harry Hall
50%
Aaron Rai
25%
Xander Schauffele
25%
Alex Smalley
25%
Jordan L. Smith
25%
J.J. Spaun
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Sahith Theegala
25%
Justin Thomas
25%
Gary Woodland
25%
Ludvig Aberg
25%
Patrick Cantlay
25%
Bud Cauley
25%
Eric Cole
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
25%
Harris English
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Michael Kim
25%
Si Woo Kim
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Jake Knapp
25%
Jackson Koivun
25%
Min Woo Lee
25%
Shane Lowry
25%
Maverick McNealy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
Alex Fitzpatrick
25%
Ryan Gerard
25%
Chris Gotterup
25%
Ben Griffin
25%
Brian Harman
25%
Russell Henley
25%
Ryo Hisatsune
25%
Nicolai Hojgaard
25%
Max Homa
25%
Sam Burns
25%
Pierceson Coody
25%
JT Poston
25%
Scottie Scheffler
64%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler's commanding position atop the FedEx St. Jude Championship leaderboard after two rounds at TPC Southwind drives his 64% implied probability as third-round leader. The world No. 1 opened with a 2-under 68 before firing a course-record 9-under 61 in round two to reach 11 under par and establish a three-shot advantage. This recent surge, combined with his consistent ball-striking and strong historical results at the venue, positions him well ahead of the pack entering Saturday's round. A large group of contenders sits several strokes back, creating a more competitive chase for second place where recent form, course management, and weekend scoring trends will determine who closes the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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